Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 17

Date: 22 December 2023, Friday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV4, Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Salernitana		Milan

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.2	1.45	Watch
	7	4.6	1.44
	6.8	4.65	1.45	Watch
	7.05	4.73	1.47
	7.05	4.73	1.47
	7	4.6	1.4
	7.1	4.75	1.44	Watch
	7	4.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.06 ↑ (6.02)	4.63 ↑ (4.37)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
13.5%

Draw
20.6%

Milan
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

21.6%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

21.3%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	11.4%	84.3%

Salernitana - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: Milan will win (59 of 70 users predict this - 84.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.77% – 92.81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Costil B. (G) 30. Mazzocchi P. 17. Fazio F. (C) 98. Pirola L. 3. Bradaric D. 18. Coulibaly L. 99. Legowski M. 20. Kastanos G. 33. Tchaouna L. 87. Candreva A. 10. Dia B.	16. Maignan M. (G) 2. Calabria D. (C) 24. Kjaer S. 23. Tomori F. 19. Hernandez T. 14. Reijnders T. 4. Bennacer I. 11. Pulisic C. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 10. Leao R. 9. Giroud O.
Substitutes
8. Bohinen E. 11. Botheim E. 28. Bronn D. 5. Daniliuc F. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 23. Gyomber N. 22. Ikwuemesi C. 21. Jovane 66. Lovato M. 7. Martegani A. 65. Salvati G. (G) 6. Sambia J. 9. Simy	7. Adli Y. 95. Bartesaghi D. 21. Chukwueze S. 42. Florenzi A. 74. Jimenez A. 15. Jovic L. 33. Krunic R. 83. Mirante A. (G) 69. Nava L. (G) 84. Nsiala C. 18. Romero L. 82. Simic J. 85. Zeroli K.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Pioli S.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Salernitana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Milan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Milan is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Salernitana: Ochoa G. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Milan: Caldara M. (Ankle Injury) Kalulu P. (Knee Injury) Pobega T. (Muscle Injury) Thiaw M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Milan: Okafor N. (Muscle Injury) Pellegrino M. (Leg Injury) Sportiello M. (Calf Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
18.12.23	Atalanta - Salernitana	4:1 ✺
10.12.23	Salernitana - Bologna	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Fiorentina - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
25.11.23	Salernitana - Lazio	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	Sassuolo - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLLWT
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
17.12.23	Milan - Monza	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.12.23	Newcastle United - Milan	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
09.12.23	Atalanta - Milan	3:2 ✺
02.12.23	Milan - Frosinone	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.11.23	Milan - Borussia Dortmund	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
13.03.23	Milan - Salernitana	1:1
04.01.23	Salernitana - Milan	1:2
19.02.22	Salernitana - Milan	2:2
04.12.21	Milan - Salernitana	2:0

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