Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 16

Date: 18 December 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 4
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	20:45	beIN Sports
Hungary	20:45	Sport 2
Italy	20:45	Sky Sport
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV6
Romania	21:45	Prima Sport 1
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	19:45	TNT Sports


	Atalanta		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	11	Watch
	1.26	6	11.5
	1.25	5.85	12.5	Watch
	1.31	5.83	10.5
	1.27	6.24	11.18
	1.22	5.8	12
	1.27	5.95	11.25	Watch
	1.28	6.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	5.98 ↑ (5.51)	11.37 ↑ (9.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atalanta
75.6%

Draw
16%

Salernitana
8.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.3%

17.2%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

14.1%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.6%	5.9%	3.5%

Atalanta - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (77 of 85 users predict this - 90.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.38% – 96.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 19. Djimsiti B. 15. De Roon M. (C) 77. Zappacosta D. 13. Ederson 8. Pasalic M. 22. Ruggeri M. 7. Koopmeiners T. 9. Muriel L. 11. Lookman A.	56. Costil B. (G) 5. Daniliuc F. 23. Gyomber N. 98. Pirola L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 25. Maggiore G. 18. Coulibaly L. 7. Martegani A. 87. Candreva A. (C) 33. Tchaouna L. 10. Dia B.
Substitutes
25. Adopo M. 20. Bakker M. 43. Bonfanti G. 99. Cisse M. 17. De Ketelaere C. 33. Hateboer H. 3. Holm E. 23. Kolasinac S. 59. Miranchuk Al. 1. Musso J. (G) 31. Rossi F. (G) 21. Zortea N.	8. Bohinen E. 11. Botheim E. 3. Bradaric D. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 22. Ikwuemesi C. 21. Jovane 20. Kastanos G. 99. Legowski M. 66. Lovato M. 65. Salvati G. (G) 6. Sambia J. 9. Simy
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Inzaghi F.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Recent matches Atalanta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salernitana is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salernitana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atalanta is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Atalanta: Toure E. B. (Thigh Injury) Vorlicky L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Salernitana: Fazio F. (Red Card) Ochoa G. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Palomino J. L. (Muscle Injury) Scamacca G. (Groin Injury) Toloi R. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
UEFA Europa League
14.12.23	Raków Częstochowa - Atalanta	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
09.12.23	Atalanta - Milan	3:2 ✺
04.12.23	Torino - Atalanta	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.11.23	Atalanta - Napoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLTL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
10.12.23	Salernitana - Bologna	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Fiorentina - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
25.11.23	Salernitana - Lazio	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	Sassuolo - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Salernitana - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
13.05.23	Salernitana - Atalanta	1:0
15.01.23	Atalanta - Salernitana	8:2
02.05.22	Atalanta - Salernitana	1:1
18.09.21	Salernitana - Atalanta	0:1

Upcoming Matches