Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Salernitana		Bologna

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.83	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.83
	4.45	3.55	1.82	Watch
	4.82	3.58	1.85
	4.82	3.58	1.84
	4.5	3.4	1.8
	4.65	3.46	1.85	Watch
	4.3	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↑ (3.33)	3.51 ↑ (3.34)	1.84 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
20.9%

Draw
27.2%

Bologna
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salernitana's form might have worsened.

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bologna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salernitana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bologna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	22.9%	64.6%

Salernitana - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 6 - 12.5%). Bologna will win (votes: 31 - 64.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 22.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 51.1% – 78.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Costil B. (G) 66. Lovato M. 23. Gyomber N. 98. Pirola L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 18. Coulibaly L. 99. Legowski M. 3. Bradaric D. 87. Candreva A. (C) 10. Dia B. 22. Ikwuemesi C.	28. Skorupski L. (G) 3. Posch S. 31. Beukema S. 33. Calafiori R. 15. Kristiansen V. 8. Freuler R. 6. Moro N. 11. Ndoye D. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 56. Saelemaekers A. 9. Zirkzee J.
Substitutes
8. Bohinen E. 11. Botheim E. 28. Bronn D. 5. Daniliuc F. 17. Fazio F. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 21. Jovane 20. Kastanos G. 25. Maggiore G. 7. Martegani A. 65. Salvati G. (G) 6. Sambia J. 9. Simy 33. Tchaouna L.	20. Aebischer M. 23. Bagnolini N. (G) 80. Fabbian G. 26. Lucumi J. 22. Lykogiannis C. 34. Ravaglia F. (G) 82. Urbanski K. 77. van Hooijdonk S.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Motta T.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 8).

Recent matches Salernitana is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bologna is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bologna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bologna will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Salernitana: Ochoa G. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Injury) Corazza T. (Injury) De Silvestri L. (Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Injury) Karlsson J. (Injury) Orsolini R. (Muscle Injury) Soumaoro A. (Knee Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
03.12.23	Fiorentina - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
25.11.23	Salernitana - Lazio	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	Sassuolo - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Salernitana - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
31.10.23	Salernitana - Sampdoria	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWTLW
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
03.12.23	Lecce - Bologna	1:1 ✺
27.11.23	Bologna - Torino	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Fiorentina - Bologna	2:1 ✺
03.11.23	Bologna - Lazio	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
31.10.23	Bologna - Verona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
18.03.23	Salernitana - Bologna	2:2
01.09.22	Bologna - Salernitana	1:1
26.02.22	Salernitana - Bologna	1:1
22.08.21	Bologna - Salernitana	3:2

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