Match Info

Date: 30 July 2021, Friday


	Vihiga United		Ulinzi Stars

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.9	2.6	2.6
	2.98	2.67	2.67
	2.9	2.5	2.75
	2.92	2.71	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.12)	2.68 ↓ (3.3)	2.69 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vihiga United
32.1%

Draw
34%

Ulinzi Stars
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

18.6%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vihiga United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vihiga United's form might have worsened.

Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vihiga United than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulinzi Stars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 10).

Vihiga United is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ulinzi Stars is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vihiga United won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vihiga United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vihiga United
Kenyan Premier League
25.07.21	Western Stima - Vihiga United	0:2 ✺
21.07.21	Vihiga United - Nairobi City Stars	0:0 ✺
17.07.21	Kariobangi Sharks - Vihiga United	4:0 ✺
13.07.21	Vihiga United - Bandari	0:1 ✺
09.07.21	Vihiga United - Wazito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLLL
- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
26.07.21	Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia	1:0 ✺
21.07.21	Kenya CB - Ulinzi Stars	2:1 ✺
17.07.21	Western Stima - Ulinzi Stars	1:2 ✺
14.07.21	Ulinzi Stars - Wazito	2:1 ✺
10.07.21	Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi City Stars	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
08.01.21	Ulinzi Stars - Vihiga United	0:0
24.04.19	Ulinzi Stars - Vihiga United	1:0
09.12.18	Vihiga United - Ulinzi Stars	2:0
15.07.18	Vihiga United - Ulinzi Stars	0:2
04.04.18	Ulinzi Stars - Vihiga United	0:1

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