Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Erzgebirge Aue		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	8.56	6.15	1.27
	6.91	5.85	1.33	Watch
	12	6.66	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.16 ↓ (12.3)	6.22 ↓ (6.71)	1.27 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
10.3%

Draw
15.2%

Union Berlin
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.6%

14%

78.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Aue (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aue (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Uhlig M. (G) 15. Bar M. 23. Barylla A. 17. Fallmann P. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 27. Hetzsch F. 16. Malone R. 30. Seiffert M. 5. Simnica L. 14. Tashchy B. 7. Weinhauer E.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 9. Burcu L. 7. Burke O. 5. Doekhi D. 19. Haberer J. 23. Ilic A. 6. Kemlein A. 39. Kohn D. 4. Leite D. 14. Querfeld L. 28. Trimmel C.
Substitutes
8. Clausen M. 29. Collins J. 24. Ehlers J. 32. Fraulob Q. 41. Kindel M. 22. Lord L. (G) 13. Majetschak E. 47. Pohlenz L. 39. Schmid M. 37. Seidel P. 34. Stefaniak M. 11. Uhlmann E. 25. Zobel T.	10. Ansah I. 32. Gray M. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 18. Juranovic J. 25. Klaus C. (G) 33. Kral A. 27. Ljubicic M. 3. Markgraf A. 34. Nsoki S. 17. Preu D. 38. Prosche L. 31. Raab M. (G) 13. Schafer A. 21. Skarke T. 43. Sliskovic D.

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Union Berlin is the obvious favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Aue won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Schweinfurt	4:0 ✺
13.12.25	Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
28.11.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Erzgebirge Aue - VfB Stuttgart II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTLT
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Köln - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Union Berlin - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Union Berlin - Heidenheim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.19	Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
23.12.18	Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin	3:0
05.08.18	Union Berlin - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0
11.03.18	Union Berlin - Erzgebirge Aue	0:0
30.09.17	Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin	1:2
05.04.17	Union Berlin - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1
23.10.16	Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin	1:3

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