What is the expert prediction for Viktoria Plzeň vs Porto?

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Viktoria Plzeň vs Porto Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, January 22, 2026)

Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen)

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	TDM TV
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	beIN Connect
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Viktoria Plzeň		Porto

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.67
	5	4	1.7
	3.25	3.55	2.04
	4.76	3.77	1.75	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.67
	5.38	3.84	1.71
	5	3.75	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (3.48)	3.75 ↑ (3.42)	1.75 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
20%

Draw
25.5%

Porto
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

27.6%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Viktoria Plzeň's form might have worsened.

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viktoria Plzeň, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7%	9.9%	83.1%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Porto (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Porto (1.87) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Plzeň (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Plzeň (3.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Porto will win (56 of 68 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.29% – 91.41%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (31 of 32 users predict this - 96.88%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 40 high ROI users predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 3 - 7.5%). Porto (votes: 36 - 90%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.5%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wiegele F. (G) 14. Doski M. 5. Spacil K. 19. Souare C. 99. Memic A. 32. Valenta M. 6. Cerv L. 9. Visinsky D. 18. Ladra T. 7. Kabongo C. 11. Vydra M. (C)	99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 52. Fernandes M. 8. Froholdt V. 13. Rosario P. 86. Mora R. 7. William Gomes 9. Samu 17. Sainz B.
Substitutes
80. Adu P. 4. Chalupa J. 24. Havel M. 34. Kubin P. 33. Novak A. 20. Panos J. 15. Silhavy M. (G) 12. Suchy D. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 85. Zeljkovic A.	73. Bras G. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 24. Costa J. (G) 6. Eustaquio S. 27. Gul D. 72. Miranda A. 74. Moura F. 11. Pepê 21. Prpic D. 22. Varela A. 10. Veiga G. 12. Zaidu
Coaches
Hysky M.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Cerv L. ⚽, Valenta M. (A),
14', Doski M. 🟨,
34', Kabongo C. ↓, Adu P. ↑,
45+4', Vydra M. 🟥,
45+5', Samu (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sainz B. ↓, Pepê ↑,
56', Mora R. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
56', Costa A. ↓, Moura F. ↑,
60', Visinsky D. ↓, Havel M. ↑,
70', Bednarek J. 🟨,
71', William Gomes ↓, Gul D. ↑,
71', Fernandes M. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
72', Adu P. 🟨,
74', Rosario P. 🟨,
83', Ladra T. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
85', Kiwior J. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Gul D. ⚽, Kiwior J. (A),

Preview

Plzeň is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Porto is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Porto is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Plzeň: Dweh S. (Yellow Cards) Hejda L. (Inactive) Hrosovsky P. (Inactive) Jemelka V. (Red Card) Kadlec A. (Inactive) Kopic J. (Knee Injury) Krcik D. (Inactive) Paluska J. (Surgery) Sloncik T. (Inactive) Sojka A. (Inactive) Tapaj D. (Inactive) Vasulin D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Porto: Karamoh Y. (Inactive) Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Perez T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pietuszewski O. (Inactive) Thiago Silva (Inactive) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

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Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

FC Porto: 17.21%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Club Friendly
15.01.26	Viktoria Plzeň - SønderjyskE	3:1 ✺
09.01.26	Lugano - Viktoria Plzeň	2:4 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
14.12.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Dukla Prague	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Panathinaikos - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
06.12.25	Slovácko - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTL
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
18.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Porto	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.01.26	Porto - Benfica	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.01.26	Santa Clara - Porto	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Porto - AVS	2:0 ✺
22.12.25	Alverca - Porto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

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