Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen)

Referee: Jug M. (Slo)


	Viktoria Plzeň		Tobol Kostanay

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	12	Watch
	1.23	6.15	11
	1.25	5.5	11
	1.24	6.03	12.12
	1.22	6.3	12.25	Watch
	1.22	6.8	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)	6.09 ↑ (5)	11.9 ↑ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
76.5%

Draw
15.5%

Tobol Kostanay
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

18.7%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

17.9%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viktoria Plzeň's performance.

Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Viktoria Plzeň - Tobol Kostanay Predictions

Users Predictions: Viktoria Plzeň will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Stanek J. (G) 2. Hejda L. (C) 3. Hranac R. 40. Dweh S. 10. Kopic J. 20. Bucha P. 23. Kalvach L. 22. Cadu 17. Durosinmi R. 15. Chory T. 31. Sulc P.	23. Konovalov I. (G) 24. Kairov B. 4. Rogac I. 30. Mladjovic B. 15. Gabaraev A. 90. Skakhov Y. 10. Muzhikov S. (C) 6. Ilic J. 14. Zharynbetov S. 8. Deble S. 21. Vukadinovic M.
Substitutes
44. Holik L. 16. Jedlicka M. (G) 21. Jemelka V. 33. Jirka E. 9. Kliment J. 18. Mosquera J. 5. Paluska J. 14. Reznik R. 12. Traore I. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 88. Vlkanova A. 11. Vydra M.	12. Busurmanov S. (G) 11. Chesnokov I. 39. Ermekbaev B. 51. Galym B. 70. Ivanovic I. 18. Kireenko P. 28. Melikhov Y. (G) 19. Mrkaic M. 5. Semchenkov D. 13. Zabelin P. 17. Zhakupov T.
Coaches
Koubek M.	Curcic M.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Plzeň in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Tobol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tobol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Plzeň is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Plzeň won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Tobol Kostanay - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
20.08.23	Viktoria Plzeň - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Gżira United - Viktoria Plzeň	0:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
13.08.23	Dynamo České Budějovice - Viktoria Plzeň	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Viktoria Plzeň - Gżira United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League
27.08.23	Tobol Kostanay - Ordabasy	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Tobol Kostanay - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
20.08.23	Aktobe - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Derry City - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
13.08.23	Kairat - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Tobol Kostanay - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2

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