Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Kostanay)

Referee: Barbu M. (Rou)


	Tobol Kostanay		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.65	Watch
	5	3.7	1.61
	5.5	3.65	1.65
	5	3.7	1.69
	5.65	3.67	1.67
	5.4	3.78	1.64
	5.2	3.8	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.32 ↑ (3.14)	3.7 ↑ (3.1)	1.66 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tobol Kostanay
17.7%

Draw
25.5%

Viktoria Plzeň
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

30.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

29.7%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tobol Kostanay's form might have worsened.

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viktoria Plzeň's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tobol Kostanay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viktoria Plzeň, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tobol Kostanay - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 26 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plzeň: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Konovalov I. (G) 24. Kairov B. 4. Rogac I. 30. Mladjovic B. 3. Asrankulov R. 90. Skakhov Y. 10. Muzhikov S. (C) 6. Ilic J. 14. Zharynbetov S. 8. Deble S. 21. Vukadinovic M.	36. Stanek J. (G) 2. Hejda L. (C) 3. Hranac R. 40. Dweh S. 10. Kopic J. 23. Kalvach L. 12. Traore I. 20. Bucha P. 22. Cadu 17. Durosinmi R. 31. Sulc P.
Substitutes
12. Busurmanov S. (G) 15. Gabaraev A. 51. Galym B. 70. Ivanovic I. 18. Kireenko P. 20. Orazov R. 5. Semchenkov D. 13. Zabelin P. 17. Zhakupov T.	15. Chory T. 44. Holik L. 16. Jedlicka M. (G) 21. Jemelka V. 33. Jirka E. 9. Kliment J. 18. Mosquera J. 5. Paluska J. 14. Reznik R. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 88. Vlkanova A. 11. Vydra M.
Coaches
Curcic M.	Koubek M.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Tobol is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Plzeň in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Plzeň is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League
20.08.23	Aktobe - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Derry City - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
13.08.23	Kairat - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Tobol Kostanay - Derry City	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
06.08.23	Tobol Kostanay - Kaisar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLWL
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
20.08.23	Viktoria Plzeň - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Gżira United - Viktoria Plzeň	0:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
13.08.23	Dynamo České Budějovice - Viktoria Plzeň	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Viktoria Plzeň - Gżira United	4:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
06.08.23	Viktoria Plzeň - Baník Ostrava	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

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