The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vila Meã 17.9%
Draw 26.2%
Amarante 55.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.7%
23.2%
64%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.3%
22.5%
66%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Meã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vila Meã's performance.
Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amarante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Meã that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amarante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).
Vila Meã has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Amarante in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Amarante is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Meã won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Vila Meã won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
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