Match Info

Date: 13 July 2021, Tuesday


	Vila Nova		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	1.95	2.88	3.95	Watch
	2.02	2.85	4.1
	2.1	3.02	4.42
	2.05	2.87	3.9
	2.09	3.02	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.06)	2.92 ↓ (3.08)	4 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
45.3%

Draw
31.6%

Brasil de Pelotas
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

30.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Vila Nova have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	20%	28%

Vila Nova - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Recent matches Vila Nova is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brasil de Pelotas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brasil de Pelotas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vila Nova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
08.07.21	Remo - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
03.07.21	Vila Nova - Ponte Preta	0:0 ✺
28.06.21	Operário Ferroviario - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
25.06.21	Vila Nova - Goiás	0:0 ✺
22.06.21	Confiança - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTWTL
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
10.07.21	Operário Ferroviario - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
03.07.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
30.06.21	Brusque - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
25.06.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
22.06.21	CRB Maceio - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.10.19	Vila Nova - Brasil de Pelotas	0:2
30.07.19	Brasil de Pelotas - Vila Nova	0:2
06.11.18	Brasil de Pelotas - Vila Nova	5:0
17.07.18	Vila Nova - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0
30.09.17	Vila Nova - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1
17.06.17	Brasil de Pelotas - Vila Nova	3:0
08.11.16	Vila Nova - Brasil de Pelotas	3:1

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