Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 16

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Pereira de Lima R. J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Vila Nova		Santos

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.45	Watch
	2.87	3	2.4
	2.95	3	2.5
	3.03	3.13	2.58
	3.02	3.03	2.47	Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.45
	2.95	3.13	2.47	Watch
	2.95	3	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	3.05 ↓ (3.12)	2.47 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
31.5%

Draw
30.7%

Santos
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

30.7%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	30.8%	15.4%

Vila Nova - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Santos will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Denis Junior (G) 2. Elias 3. Juan Quintero 4. Jemmes 6. Rhuan 8. Ralf (C) 5. Cristiano 18. Arilson 70. Juan Christian 19. Henrique Almeida 11. Alesson	77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 32. Jair 4. Gil 31. Escobar G. 5. Joao Schmidt 21. Diego Pituca (C) 37. Serginho 22. Otero R. 9. Furch J. 11. Guilherme
Substitutes
22. Apodi 17. Caique 7. Emerson Urso 21. Everton 16. Fabio 13. Guilherme Lacerda 30. Halls (G) 20. Joao Lucas 15. Joao Victor 10. Luciano Naninho 23. Marcondes	2. Alex Nascimento 12. Diogenes (G) 3. Hayner 15. Joao Basso 34. Joao Pedro (G) 47. Miguelito 88. Patrick 7. Pedrinho 8. Rincon T. 23. Sandry 33. Souza 27. Willian Bigode
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Fabio Carille

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Henrique Almeida 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Furch J. ⚽, Serginho (A),
62', Ralf ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Jemmes ⚽, Luciano Naninho (A),
70', Otero R. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
71', Serginho ↓, Miguelito ↑,
76', Henrique Almeida 🟨,
78', Escobar G. ↓, Hayner ↑,
78', Furch J. ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
82', Juan Christian ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
85', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Souza ↑,
90+3', Alesson ↓, Marcondes ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santos will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Vila Nova: Igor Henrique (Injury) Junior Todinho (Injury)

There will not play in Santos: Kevyson (Injury) Rodrigo Falcao (Injury) Zabala L. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
14.07.24	Vila Nova - Avaí	2:1 ✺
08.07.24	Amazonas - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
29.06.24	Coritiba - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Vila Nova - Goiás	1:0 ✺
20.06.24	Vila Nova - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWTWW
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
15.07.24	Santos - Ituano	2:0 ✺
05.07.24	Ceará - Santos	0:1 ✺
01.07.24	Santos - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
25.06.24	Mirassol - Santos	0:0 ✺
19.06.24	Santos - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTW

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