Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Vilaverdense		Torreense

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.1	3.4	3.4
	2.37	3.43	2.98
	2.18	3.49	3.41
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.1	3.29	3.33
	2.05	3.15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.58)	3.28 ↑ (3.18)	3.27 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
43.6%

Draw
28.1%

Torreense
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

29.6%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

29.7%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilaverdense's performance.

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torreense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilaverdense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torreense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vilaverdense - Torreense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Santos R. (G) 6. Konate B. 27. Freitas C. 26. Batista J. 88. Neves L. 8. Joao Caiado 5. Sako M. 11. Bruno Silva 10. Soares A. (C) 19. Lopes A. 7. Teixeira G.	12. Ricardo Fernandes (G) 5. Afonso J. (C) 14. Elimbi M. G. 4. Ne Lopes 2. Campos N. 8. Benny 77. Neneco 80. Keffel 21. Rodrigues A. 29. Patrick 19. Arriba J.
Substitutes
52. Burst J. 82. Cajo (G) 17. Fati N. 70. Hanne B. 4. Kawale R. 3. Laercio 12. Maviram E. 78. Reum C. 25. Seedorf S.	7. Andrade T. 90. Costa D. 22. Daniel Bolt 51. Elie 99. Henriques C. (G) 23. Lucas Silva 9. Paulinho 59. Pedro Clemente 17. Tassano C.
Coaches
Machado S.	Tulipa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Sako M. 🟨,
32', Soares A. ↓, Hanne B. ↑,
40', 0 - 1, Benny ⚽,
45+2', Keffel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Sako M. ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
64', Lopes A. ↓, Seedorf S. ↑,
67', Neneco ↓, Tassano C. ↑,
71', Tassano C. 🟨,
73', Joao Caiado 🟨,
74', Patrick 🟨,
74', Rodrigues A. ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
86', Bruno Silva ↓, Burst J. ↑,
86', Freitas C. ↓, Reum C. ↑,
88', Keffel ↓, Elie ↑,
88', Arriba J. ↓, Paulinho ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 10).

Recent matches Vilaverdense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torreense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Torreense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vilaverdense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
27.04.24	Leixões - Vilaverdense	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Vilaverdense - Marítimo	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Leiria - Vilaverdense	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	Vilaverdense - Mafra	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Tondela - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLWL
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
28.04.24	Torreense - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Torreense - Leiria	0:3 ✺
14.04.24	Leixões - Torreense	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Torreense - Marítimo	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Mafra - Torreense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
21.12.23	Torreense - Vilaverdense	3:1

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