Match Info

Primera B - Round 21

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires)


	Villa Dálmine		Sportivo Italiano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	2.60	3.10
	2.68	2.62	2.82	Watch
	2.61	2.53	2.69
	2.75	2.61	2.9	Watch
	2.40	2.60	3.25
	2.66	2.67	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.67)	2.61 ↓ (2.65)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
34.8%

Draw
34.5%

Sportivo Italiano
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

34.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

34.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+2%)

Villa Dálmine - Sportivo Italiano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Villa Dálmine (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Villa Dálmine (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Agorreca N. 9. Brandan L. 2. Broggi C. 4. Gamba L. 3. Martinez D. 7. Morales M. 5. Nizzo M. 11. Ramon E. 8. Solis M. 10. Torres G.	1. Yordan G. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 3. Daivez A. 2. Durante P. 7. Gimenez K. 10. Gomez F. 8. Guerra A. 9. Guzman M. 11. Laborda L. 6. Merzario E. 5. Rivero J.
Substitutes
14. Britos M. 16. Carlucci V. 12. Friedrich G. (G) 17. Mascarell T. 20. Paez M. 18. Roldan S. 19. Schultz E. 15. Vitale D. 13. Zurita M.	12. Alastra A. (G) 19. Caceres P. 18. Centurion F. 16. De Cuadro J. 13. Di Massimo F. 17. Fortino R. 15. Guzman L. 20. Hirigoyen T. 14. Ordonez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Guerra A. ⚽,
33', Gamba L. 🟨,
41', Morales M. ↓, Schultz E. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Torres G. ⚽,
59', 🟨,
64', Gimenez K. ↓, Centurion F. ↑,
64', Gomez F. ↓, Hirigoyen T. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Brandan L. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Rivero J. 🟨,
79', Bifiguer C. 🟨,
82', Ramon E. ↓, Carlucci V. ↑,
82', Laborda L. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
82', Bifiguer C. ↓, Caceres P. ↑,
86', Brandan L. ↓, Paez M. ↑,
87', Torres G. ↓, Britos M. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sportivo Italiano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villa Dálmine will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villa Dálmine won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa Dálmine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sportivo Italiano	38	18	11	9	45:28	17	65
5	Villa Dalmine	38	17	13	8	38:23	15	64

Last Results with these Odds

Villa Dálmine - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 33.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Sportivo Italiano - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.18%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera B
12.06.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Villa Dálmine	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Villa Dálmine - Villa San Carlos	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Liniers - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
27.05.26	Defensores Unidos - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Villa Dálmine - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLLT
- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
13.06.26	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Sportivo Italiano	1:3 ✺
31.05.26	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Sportivo Italiano - San Martín de Burzaco	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Sportivo Italiano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
05.07.25	Villa Dálmine - Sportivo Italiano	0:1
14.02.25	Sportivo Italiano - Villa Dálmine	0:0
05.10.24	Sportivo Italiano - Villa Dálmine	0:1
18.05.24	Villa Dálmine - Sportivo Italiano	2:0

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