Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Villa Española		Cerro Largo

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.61	Watch
	4.6	3.75	1.65
	5	3.7	1.55
	4.5	3.75	1.63
	4.7	4.09	1.73
	4.75	3.7	1.62
	4.7	3.9	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↓ (5.7)	3.78 ↓ (3.85)	1.64 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Española
19.6%

Draw
24.3%

Cerro Largo
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

23.9%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

19.7%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Española that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Largo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa Española - Cerro Largo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 4).

Villa Española is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cerro Largo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerro Largo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cerro Largo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villa Española won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.11.21	River Plate Montevideo - Villa Española	4:2 ✺
19.11.21	Villa Española - Liverpool Montevideo	0:3 ✺
06.11.21	Villa Española - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
02.11.21	Deportivo Maldonado - Villa Española	0:1 ✺
30.10.21	Montevideo City Torque - Villa Española	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWL
- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.11.21	Cerro Largo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
22.11.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:2 ✺
08.11.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Largo	1:2 ✺
04.11.21	Cerro Largo - Boston River	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.21	Cerro Largo - Villa Española	3:1

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