Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Villa Española		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2
	3.2	3.3	2.02
	3.5	3.4	1.94
	3.75	3.82	1.97
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.64	3.55	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.31)	3.45 ↑ (3.44)	1.98 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Española
26.7%

Draw
26.7%

Montevideo Wanderers
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

27.2%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

20.8%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Española that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa Española - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6).

Villa Española has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Wanderers is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wanderers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wanderers will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villa Española won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.10.21	Boston River - Villa Española	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Villa Española - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2 ✺
24.09.21	Plaza Colonia - Villa Española	4:0 ✺
18.09.21	Villa Española - Sud América	1:2 ✺
13.09.21	Progreso - Villa Española	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.10.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0 ✺
26.09.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
20.09.21	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo Wanderers	1:3 ✺
12.09.21	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
19.06.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Villa Española	3:0
04.12.16	Montevideo Wanderers - Villa Española	3:1

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