Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)


	Montevideo Wanderers		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	4
	1.88	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.77	3.35	4.1
	1.86	3.35	3.8
	1.91	3.5	4.44
	1.85	3.2	4
	1.85	3.42	4.05	Watch
	1.9	3.45	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)	3.36 ↓ (3.41)	4.02 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
49.6%

Draw
27.4%

Rentistas
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

27.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	23.1%	23.1%

Montevideo Wanderers - Rentistas Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Rentistas will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wanderers: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 5.

Wanderers is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rentistas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wanderers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wanderers is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 26-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Wanderers won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.09.22	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	0:3 ✺
Uruguay Copa
06.09.22	Universitario Salto - Montevideo Wanderers	1:3 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.09.22	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLT
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.09.22	Rentistas - Montevideo City Torque	3:0 ✺
11.09.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Rentistas	2:2 ✺
02.09.22	Deportivo Maldonado - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Rentistas - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
23.08.22	Rocha - Rentistas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
23.07.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Rentistas	3:1
17.04.22	Rentistas - Montevideo Wanderers	1:3
26.09.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Rentistas	2:1
31.05.21	Rentistas - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1
10.02.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Rentistas	3:2
25.10.20	Montevideo Wanderers - Rentistas	2:2
19.08.20	Rentistas - Montevideo Wanderers	0:0

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