Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 21

Date: 22 January 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Brazil	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Granada		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.62	Watch
	5.25	4.1	1.61
	5.5	4.33	1.62	Watch
	4.71	4.05	1.73
	5.52	4.26	1.63
	5.5	4.2	1.55
	5.91	4.42	1.61	Watch
	5.4	4.3	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↑ (4.68)	4.21 ↑ (3.96)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
18%

Draw
22.8%

Atlético Madrid
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

24%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

23.2%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6%	4.3%	89.7%

Granada - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (105 of 117 users predict this - 89.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.24% – 95.24%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Batalla A. (G) 12. Sanchez R. 2. Bruno Mendez 14. Miquel I. 15. Neva C. (C) 20. Ruiz S. 23. Gumbau G. 26. Zaragoza B. 24. Villar G. 11. Uzuni M. 7. Boye L.	13. Oblak J. (C) 15. Savic S. 20. Witsel A. 22. Hermoso M. 16. Molina N. 14. Llorente M. 24. Barrios P. 8. Niguez S. 25. Riquelme R. 19. Morata A. 7. Griezmann A.
Substitutes
8. Arezo M. 9. Callejon J. 13. Ferreira A. (G) 31. Lopez A. (G) 21. Melendo O. 10. Puertas A. 4. Rubio M. 33. Saenz P. 36. Sangare L. 28. Torrente R.	10. Correa A. 5. de Paul R. 9. Depay M. 17. Galan J. 2. Gimenez J. M. 31. Gomis A. (G) 1. Grbic I. (G) 6. Koke 12. Lino S. 3. Moreno M. 4. Soyuncu C.
Coaches
Medina A.	Simeone D.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 1.

Granada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético is a favorite.

There will not play in Granada: Fernandez R. (Injury) Hongla M. (Suspended)

There will not play in Atlético: Azpilicueta C. (Knee Injury) Lemar T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mandava R. (National selection) Vitolo (Knee Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Granada won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 8-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
13.01.24	Betis - Granada	1:0 ✺
03.01.24	Granada - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
19.12.23	Granada - Sevilla	0:3 ✺
16.12.23	Celta de Vigo - Granada	1:0 ✺
11.12.23	Granada - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLT
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.01.24	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish Supercopa
10.01.24	Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid	5:3 ET ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Lugo - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.24	Girona - Atlético Madrid	4:3 ✺
23.12.23	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
14.08.23	Atlético Madrid - Granada	3:1
20.04.22	Atlético Madrid - Granada	0:0
22.12.21	Granada - Atlético Madrid	2:1
13.02.21	Granada - Atlético Madrid	1:2
27.09.20	Atlético Madrid - Granada	6:1
08.02.20	Atlético Madrid - Granada	1:0
23.11.19	Granada - Atlético Madrid	1:1

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