Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 8

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lopez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	16:00	ESPN 3
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	05:00	beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Kazakhstan	01:00	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	21:00	K Sport 1
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2
Romania	22:00	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 2
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 1
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tanzania	22:00	Azam Sports 3
Turkey	22:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	15:00	ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
International	19:00	Disney+, Prima+ app, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Villarreal		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	1.48	5	5.75	Watch
	1.47	4.8	6
	1.45	5	6.5	Watch
	1.46	5	6.78
	1.43	5.06	7.17	Watch
	1.44	4.8	7
	1.49	5.14	6.74	Watch
	1.45	5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	4.98 ↑ (4.48)	6.56 ↑ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
66%

Draw
19.3%

Las Palmas
14.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.7%

21.3%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

20.7%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.5%	1.9%	5.7%

Villarreal - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (49 of 53 users predict this - 92.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.34% – 99.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Conde D. (G) 17. Kiko Femenia 2. Costa L. 4. Bailly E. 23. Cardona S. 11. Akhomach I. 10. Parejo D. (C) 18. Gueye P. 6. Suarez D. 19. Pepe N. 15. Barry T.	13. Horkas D. (G) 4. Alex Suarez 28. Herzog J. 23. Munoz A. 11. Ramirez B. 24. Januzaj A. 29. Essugo D. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 10. Moleiro A. 16. McBurnie O. 37. Silva F.
Substitutes
3. Albiol R. 16. Baena A. 12. Bernat J. 33. Cabanes P. 14. Comesana S. 36. Etta Eyong 1. Junior Reis (G) 26. Navarro P. 21. Pino Y. 20. Terrats R.	8. Campana J. 9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 21. Gil I. 6. Gonzalez F. 5. Javier Munoz 30. Killane A. (G) 12. Loiodice E. 17. Mata J. 7. Pejino 22. Sinkgraven D. 18. Viti
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Carrion L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Alex Suarez 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Pepe N. ⚽, Barry T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Suarez D. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Silva F. ⚽, Januzaj A. (A),
50', Horkas D. 🟨,
51', Baena A. (Pen),
52', Silva F. 🟨,
62', Rodriguez K. ↓, Javier Munoz ↑,
62', McBurnie O. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
77', Akhomach I. ↓, Cabanes P. ↑,
77', Gueye P. ↓, Comesana S. ↑,
77', Januzaj A. ↓, Loiodice E. ↑,
78', Ramirez B. ↓, Viti ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Barry T. ⚽, Baena A. (A),
86', Essugo D. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
87', Pepe N. ↓, Terrats R. ↑,
88', Cardona S. ↓, Bernat J. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 1, Baena A. ⚽, Comesana S. (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 2.

Villarreal is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Las Palmas is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Villarreal is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Foyth J. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Injury) Moreno G. (Muscle Injury) Pedraza A. (Injury) Perez A. (Injury)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Cillessen J. (Knee Injury) Marmol M. (Injury) Marvin (Injury) McKenna S. (Thigh Injury) Ramirez S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Pino Y. (Muscle Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
26.09.24	Espanyol - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Villarreal - Barcelona	1:5 ✺
14.09.24	Mallorca - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Valencia - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWTW
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
26.09.24	Las Palmas - Betis	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Osasuna - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Las Palmas - Athletic Bilbao	2:3 ✺
01.09.24	Deportivo Alavés - Las Palmas	2:0 ✺
29.08.24	Las Palmas - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
13.01.24	Las Palmas - Villarreal	3:0
08.10.23	Villarreal - Las Palmas	1:2
11.03.18	Las Palmas - Villarreal	0:2
22.10.17	Villarreal - Las Palmas	4:0
17.03.17	Las Palmas - Villarreal	1:0
23.10.16	Villarreal - Las Palmas	2:1
05.03.16	Villarreal - Las Palmas	0:1

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