Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	VOOsport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Villarreal		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4.2
	1.85	3.75	4
	1.88	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.93	4.13
	1.85	3.93	4.14
	1.83	3.75	3.8
	1.83	3.92	4.15
	1.87	3.85	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.01)	3.84 ↑ (3.66)	4.07 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
51.7%

Draw
24.9%

Panathinaikos
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

26%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.1%	4.6%	2.3%

Villarreal - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (81 of 87 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.77% – 98.43%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reina P. (G) 8. Foyth J. 3. Albiol R. (C) 5. Cuenca J. 18. Moreno A. 27. Akhomach I. 10. Parejo D. 4. Comesana S. 14. Trigueros M. 16. Baena A. 15. Morales J. L.	91. Brignoli A. (G) 2. Vagiannidis G. 5. Schenkeveld B. (C) 55. Arao W. 25. Mladenovic F. 4. Perez R. 10. Bernard 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 34. Palacios S. 9. Sporar A. 22. Cantalapiedra A.
Substitutes
26. Altimira A. 9. Brereton Diaz B. 6. Capoue E. 39. Espigares A. 2. Gabbia M. 13. Jorgensen F. (G) 17. Kiko 7. Moreno G. 30. Pascual J. 24. Pedraza A. 20. Terrats R.	31. Djuricic F. 7. Ioannidis F. 21. Jedvaj T. 3. Juankar 27. Kotsiras G. 12. Lodygin Y. (G) 17. Mancini D. 52. Vilhena T. 15. Xenopoulos V. (G)
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Jovanovic I.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Panathinaikos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Panathinaikos have a series of guest games.

In this match Villarreal is a favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Mandi A. (Ankle Injury) Pino Y. (Knee Injury) Sorloth A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Magnusson H. (Knee Injury) Palmer-Brown E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Coquelin F. (Knee Injury) Suarez D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Juankar (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
26.11.23	Villarreal - Osasuna	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.11.23	Zamora - Villarreal	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.11.23	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	Maccabi Haifa - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.11.23	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWL
- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
26.11.23	Aris - Panathinaikos	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	AE Kifisia - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	Rennes - Panathinaikos	3:1 ✺
Greek Super League
04.11.23	Lamia - Panathinaikos	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Panathinaikos - Panserraikos	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Panathinaikos - Villarreal	2:0

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