Match Info

Serie B - Round 13

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Vinotinto		Cumbayá

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.10	3.80
	1.67	3.30	4.75
	1.89	3.17	4.27
	1.91	3.15	4.38	Watch
	1.83	3.10	3.90
	1.92	3.44	3.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.72)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	4.16 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinotinto
49.6%

Draw
28.5%

Cumbayá
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.6%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

27%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Vinotinto - Cumbayá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

Vinotinto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Cumbayá has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cumbayá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vinotinto is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Vinotinto	29	13	9	7	37:22	15	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Serie B
31.05.26	Vinotinto - Atlético Rojiblanco	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
27.05.26	Vinotinto - Orense	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
23.05.26	LDU Portoviejo - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
14.05.26	Vinotinto - Cuenca Juniors	3:0 ✺
07.05.26	San Antonio - Vinotinto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWT
- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.05.26	Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
13.05.26	Cumbayá - LDU Portoviejo	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	Cuenca Juniors - Cumbayá	0:3 ✺
29.04.26	9 de Octubre - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
02.04.26	Cumbayá - Vinotinto	1:1

Vinotinto - Cumbayá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide