Match Info

Copa Ecuador - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:30	DSports 4
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	17:30	DSports 310
Venezuela	16:30	DSports 1


	Vinotinto		Orense

	1	X	2
	2.92	3	2.4
	2.8	3.05	2.48
	2.8	2.8	2.5
	2.83	2.81	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.25)	2.92 ↓ (3)	2.47 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinotinto
32%

Draw
31.2%

Orense
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.2%

30.5%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

29.4%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Vinotinto - Orense Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vinotinto will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Orense will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Lugo J. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 1, Mena A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Vinotinto have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Orense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Serie B
23.05.26	LDU Portoviejo - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
14.05.26	Vinotinto - Cuenca Juniors	3:0 ✺
07.05.26	San Antonio - Vinotinto	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Vinotinto - Independiente Juniors	2:2 ✺
29.04.26	El Nacional - Vinotinto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTTW
- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.05.26	Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:2 ✺
18.05.26	Guayaquil City - Orense	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Orense - Leones del Norte	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Deportivo Macará - Orense	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.25	Vinotinto - Orense	0:1
05.04.25	Orense - Vinotinto	0:0

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