The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vinotinto 23.1%
Draw 30.1%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 46.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.7%
23.8%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
22.6%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-33.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vinotinto's form might have worsened.
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica del Ecuador's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+36.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vinotinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-28.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Vinotinto - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 9 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Fajardo J. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Sanchez C. ⚽,
29', 1 - 2, Lucero L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 2 - 2, ⚽,
78', 🟥,
90+5', 2 - 3, Fajardo J. ⚽,
Preview
Uni Católica is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Vinotinto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Uni Católica is a strong favorite.
We predict that Uni Católica will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
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Ecuador
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