Match Info

Serie B - Round 36

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Virtus Entella		Padova

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.9	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.6
	2.02	3.25	3.6
	2.08	3.38	4.01
	2.01	3.18	3.86	Watch
	2	3.1	3.7
	2	3.28	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 (2.01)	3.27 ↓ (3.33)	3.78 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
46.6%

Draw
28.6%

Padova
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	55.6%	0%

Virtus Entella - Padova Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Padova (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Del Frate F. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 3. Alborghetti M. 7. Bariti D. 8. Karic N. 32. Benedetti L. 24. Franzoni A. 26. Di Mario S. 10. Cuppone L. 11. Guiu B.	22. Sorrentino A. (G) 4. Belli F. 55. Villa L. 58. Pastina C. 17. Capelli A. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 8. Fusi P. 30. Favale G. 7. Varas K. 77. Di Mariano F. 20. Bortolussi M.
Substitutes
77. Boccadamo A. 1. Colombi S. (G) 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 19. Debenedetti A. 57. Del Lungo T. 4. Nichetti M. 38. Pilati A. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 5. Squizzato N. 9. Stabile D. P. 17. Tirelli M. 46. Turicchia R.	13. Boi A. 92. Buonaiuto C. 24. Caprari G. 23. Di Maggio L. 72. Faedo C. 14. Fortin M. (G) 18. Ghiglione P. 86. Giunti G. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 5. Perrotta M. 11. Seghetti A. 41. Silva J.
Coaches
Chiappella A.	Breda R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Favale G. 🟨,
32', Benedetti L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Di Mariano F. 🟨,
59', Bortolussi M. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
60', Di Mariano F. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
62', Benedetti L. ↓, Squizzato N. ↑,
63', Guiu B. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
70', Fusi P. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
70', Belli F. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Cuppone L. ⚽, Bariti D. (A),
78', Favale G. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
82', Bariti D. ↓, Turicchia R. ↑,
82', Cuppone L. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
88', Karic N. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,
90+1', Villa L. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 13).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Virtus Entella will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Marconi I. (Yellow Cards) Mezzoni F. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Surgery) Barreca A. (Muscle Injury) Harder J. (Muscle Injury) Lasagna K. (Muscle Injury) Papu Gomez (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Padova: 2.01% Entella: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Padova	6	2	1	3	5:8	-3	7
14	Entella	6	1	3	2	8:7	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
19.04.26	Empoli - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Virtus Entella - Venezia	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Mantova - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Virtus Entella - Reggiana	3:0 ✺
18.03.26	Pescara - Virtus Entella	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTLWL
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
19.04.26	Padova - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Padova - Empoli	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Frosinone - Padova	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Padova - Palermo	0:1 ✺
17.03.26	Venezia - Padova	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.09.25	Padova - Virtus Entella	2:1
Italian Super Cup Serie C
17.05.25	Padova - Virtus Entella	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.11.21	Padova - Virtus Entella	2:1 ET
Coppa Italia
11.08.13	Padova - Virtus Entella	2:1

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