Match Info

Serie B - Round 35

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Israel	Sport 5 Max
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball


	Padova		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.75
	2.14	3.17	3.55	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.19	3.26	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.98)	3.16 ↓ (3.22)	3.48 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
43.5%

Draw
29.6%

Reggiana
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.5%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

26.5%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Padova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Padova - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Reggiana will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Padova: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sorrentino A. (G) 72. Faedo C. 55. Villa L. 58. Pastina C. 17. Capelli A. 8. Fusi P. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 7. Varas K. 30. Favale G. 20. Bortolussi M. 77. Di Mariano F.	1. Micai A. (G) 17. Libutti L. 34. Vicari F. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 43. Bonetti S. 26. Bertagnoli M. 16. Reinhart T. 10. Bozhanaj K. 93. Lambourde M. 90. Portanova M. (C) 11. Gondo C.
Substitutes
4. Belli F. 92. Buonaiuto C. 24. Caprari G. 23. Di Maggio L. 14. Fortin M. (G) 18. Ghiglione P. 86. Giunti G. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 5. Perrotta M. 11. Seghetti A. 32. Sgarbi F. 41. Silva J.	57. Belardinelli L. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 8. Charlys 77. Fumagalli T. 44. Mendicino L. 9. Novakovich A. 2. Papetti A. 66. Pinelli P. 23. Rover M. 12. Seculin A. (G) 33. Tripaldelli A. 6. Vallarelli F.
Coaches
Breda R.	Bisoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Reinhart T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Rover M. ↑,
51', Bonetti S. 🟨,
56', Bonetti S. ↓, Tripaldelli A. ↑,
68', Fusi P. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
68', Di Mariano F. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
73', Gondo C. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
77', Varas K. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
78', Bortolussi M. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Seghetti A. ⚽, Caprari G. (A),
82', Lambourde M. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
82', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Charlys ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Padova is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Surgery) Barreca A. (Muscle Injury) Buonaiuto C. (Inactive) Harder J. (Muscle Injury) Lasagna K. (Muscle Injury) Papu Gomez (Inactive) Silva J. (Injury)

There will not play in Reggiana: Bozzolan A. (Foot Injury) Girma N. (Inactive) Paz Y. (Knee Injury) Quaranta D. (Inactive) Sampirisi M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reggiana: Rozzio P. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Padova won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Padova: 2.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Padova	6	2	1	3	5:8	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Reggiana - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 25.31%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
12.04.26	Padova - Empoli	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Frosinone - Padova	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Padova - Palermo	0:1 ✺
17.03.26	Venezia - Padova	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Padova - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
12.04.26	Reggiana - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Reggiana - Pescara	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Virtus Entella - Reggiana	3:0 ✺
17.03.26	Reggiana - Monza	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bari - Reggiana	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.12.25	Reggiana - Padova	1:2
Italian Serie C Group B
29.04.18	Reggiana - Padova	1:1
09.12.17	Padova - Reggiana	0:0
05.03.17	Reggiana - Padova	1:1
17.10.16	Padova - Reggiana	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
17.01.16	Padova - Reggiana	0:0
06.09.15	Reggiana - Padova	1:1

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