Match Info

Serie B - Round 31

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball


	Venezia		Padova

	1	X	2
	1.19	6.5	9.5	Watch
	1.27	5.75	9.5
	1.22	6.1	11	Watch
	1.24	6.49	12.29
	1.22	6.22	12.08	Watch
	1.22	6	11
	1.25	6.77	9.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.32)	6.26 ↑ (4.93)	10.75 ↑ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
76.3%

Draw
15%

Padova
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

18.8%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

17.8%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venezia's performance.

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Venezia - Padova Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Padova (3.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Venezia will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 30. Svoboda M. (C) 33. Sverko M. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 6. Busio G. 8. Doumbia I. 5. Haps R. 10. Yeboah J. 29. Lauberbach L.	22. Sorrentino A. (G) 55. Villa L. 58. Pastina C. 5. Perrotta M. (C) 72. Faedo C. 8. Fusi P. 86. Giunti G. 23. Di Maggio L. 17. Capelli A. 92. Buonaiuto C. 15. Lasagna K.
Substitutes
9. Adorante A. 37. Bohinen E. 80. Casas A. 21. Compagnon M. 28. Dagasso M. 4. Franjic B. 2. Korac S. 24. Lella N. 99. Pietrelli A. 22. Plizzari A. (G) 20. Sagrado R. 16. Venturi M.	4. Belli F. 13. Boi A. 20. Bortolussi M. 24. Caprari G. 6. Crisetig L. 30. Favale G. 14. Fortin M. (G) 18. Ghiglione P. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 11. Seghetti A. 16. Tumiatti F. 7. Varas K.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Andreoletti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Faedo C. 🟨,
39', Fusi P. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Svoboda M. ⚽, Busio G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Doumbia I. ⚽,
56', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
64', Perrotta M. 🟨,
66', Faedo C. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
69', Yeboah J. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
69', Doumbia I. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Perez K. ⚽, Hainaut A. (A),
76', Perrotta M. ↓, Belli F. ↑,
76', Fusi P. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
76', Giunti G. ↓, Crisetig L. ↑,
77', Busio G. ↓, Dagasso M. ↑,
77', Perez K. ↓, Bohinen E. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Capelli A. ⚽, Lasagna K. (A),
86', Hainaut A. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
89', Compagnon M. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 4.

Venezia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Padova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Venezia is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B. (Inactive) Duncan A. (Inactive) Yeboah J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Injury) Barreca A. (Inactive) Di Mariano F. (Yellow Cards) Ghiglione P. (Inactive) Harder J. (Injury) Papu Gomez (Inactive) Sgarbi F. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Padova	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
14.03.26	Sampdoria - Venezia	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Venezia - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Venezia - Avellino	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Venezia - Pescara	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWTW
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
14.03.26	Padova - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Avellino - Padova	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Padova - Spezia	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Modena - Padova	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Padova - Bari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.11.25	Padova - Venezia	0:2
27.01.19	Venezia - Padova	2:1
01.09.18	Padova - Venezia	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
10.04.17	Padova - Venezia	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.03.17	Venezia - Padova	3:1
22.02.17	Padova - Venezia	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
28.11.16	Venezia - Padova	1:3

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