Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 32

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday


	Vis Pesaro		Montevarchi

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.85	2.75
	2.65	3.05	2.48
	2.44	2.75	2.9
	2.53	2.84	2.84
	2.45	2.88	2.8
	2.49	3.04	2.81	Watch
	2.47	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.2)	2.9 ↑ (2.75)	2.78 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
36.3%

Draw
31.2%

Montevarchi
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

32.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

31%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montevarchi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vis Pesaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montevarchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Vis Pesaro - Montevarchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vis Pesaro will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Montevarchi will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vis Pesaro: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Vis Pesaro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Montevarchi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vis Pesaro won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Vis Pesaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.23	Siena - Vis Pesaro	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Vis Pesaro - Reggiana	0:3 ✺
26.02.23	Alessandria - Vis Pesaro	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Lucchese - Vis Pesaro	3:0 ✺
15.02.23	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLT
- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.23	Montevarchi - Sassari Torres	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Cesena - Montevarchi	2:2 ✺
26.02.23	Montevarchi - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Virtus Entella - Montevarchi	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Montevarchi - Fiorenzuola	1:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.11.22	Montevarchi - Vis Pesaro	0:0
03.04.22	Vis Pesaro - Montevarchi	2:0
28.11.21	Montevarchi - Vis Pesaro	1:1

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