Match Info

J1 League - Round 11

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Vissel Kobe		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.8	3.75	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.93	3.67	4.08
	1.91	3.64	3.94	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.9
	1.82	3.7	4.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 (1.85)	3.64 ↓ (4.03)	3.93 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
50.5%

Draw
25.7%

Shimizu S-Pulse
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

23.4%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

22.8%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	19.2%	0%

Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Vissel Kobe (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vissel Kobe will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vissel Kobe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 23. Hirose R. 3. Thuler M. 16. Caetano 15. Diego 5. Goke Y. 6. Ogihara T. (C) 7. Ideguchi Y. 2. Iino N. 29. Komatsu R. 41. Nagato K.	16. Umeda T. (G) 5. Kitazume K. 14. Park Seung-Wook 51. Sumiyoshi J. 28. Yoshida Y. 81. Kozuka K. 6. Uno Z. (C) 23. Chiba K. 11. Nakahara H. 9. Oh Se-Hun 7. Capixaba
Substitutes
71. Gonda S. (G) 28. Hamasaki K. 14. Inui T. 26. Jean Patric 25. Kuwasaki Y. 80. Nduka B. 10. Osako Y. 24. Sakai G. 40. Uchino K.	25. Brunetti M. 18. Gunji R. 39. Hidaka H. 8. Inoue K. 97. Ohata R. 1. Oki Y. (G) 47. Shimamoto Y. 70. Takagi S. 17. Yumiba M.
Coaches
Skibbe M.	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Nagato K. ⚽, Ideguchi Y. (A),
35', Hirose R. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Capixaba ↓, Brunetti M. ↑,
46', Chiba K. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
46', Komatsu R. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
56', Nakahara H. ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Ogihara T. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Kozuka K. ↓, Yumiba M. ↑,
74', Inoue K. 🟨,
79', Yoshida Y. ↓, Hidaka H. ↑,
79', Nagato K. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
90+3', Iino N. ↓, Sakai G. ↑,
90+3', Ideguchi Y. ↓, Kuwasaki Y. ↑,
90+5', Thuler M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vissel Kobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vissel Kobe is the team to beat.

There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S. (Knee Injury) Hamasaki K. (Inactive) Muto Y. (Surgery) Sasaki D. (Injury) Yamada K. (Injury)

There will not play in Shimizu: Hasukawa S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:30. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.8:1.6).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Vissel Kobe: 20.95% Shimizu S-Pulse: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
16	Shimizu S-Pulse	4	1	0	3	1:3	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Vissel Kobe - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.01%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
27.03.26	Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe	2:1 penalties ✺
18.03.26	Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka	2:3 penalties ✺
14.03.26	Nagoya Grampus - Vissel Kobe	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.03.26	Vissel Kobe - FC Seoul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWW
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
22.03.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:1 ✺
18.03.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2 penalties ✺
14.03.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Gamba Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
21.02.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe	1:0
27.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1
25.05.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe	3:2
06.07.22	Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1
19.03.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe	0:0
24.09.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe	0:2
11.04.21	Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1

Upcoming Matches