The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitória Salvador 39.4%
Draw 31.3%
Atlético Mineiro 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
28.8%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
28.8%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
14.3%
42.9%
Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Atlético MG (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
22. Everson (G) 3. Roman I. 4. Ruan Tressoldi 6. Alonso J. (C) 16. Lodi R. 30. Victor Hugo 21. Franco A. 10. Gustavo Scarpa 25. Perez T. 28. Cuello 19. Reinier
Substitutes
28. Anderson 17. Cantalapiedra A. 26. Edenilson 33. Erick 23. Fabricio 22. Gabriel (G) 83. Jamerson 31. Lopez R. 36. Luan Candido 98. Matheusinho 11. Osvaldo 8. Ronald Lopes
11. Bernard 9. Cassierra M. 92. Dudu 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 7. Hulk 17. Igor Gomes 13. Lyanco 27. Minda A. 2. Natanael 20. Patrick Silva 46. Pedro Cobra (G) 23. Preciado A.
Coaches
Jair Ventura
Dominguez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Marinho ↓, Erick ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Renato Kayzer ⚽,
45', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
45+2', Perez T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Caique Goncalves ↓, Edenilson ↑,
46', Roman I. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
58', Cuello ↓, Dudu ↑,
58', Perez T. ↓, Hulk ↑,
66', Preciado A. 🟨,
67', Matheuzinho ↓, Anderson ↑,
67', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Erick ⚽, Baralhas (A),
74', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
74', Erick 🟨,
84', Reinier ↓, Minda A. ↑,
84', Erick ↓, Fabricio ↑,
90', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 3.
Vitória is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Atlético MG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho
(Muscle Injury)
Dudu
(Inactive)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Knee Injury)
Cisse M.
(Leg Injury)
Maycon
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Vitória: Edu
(Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Atletico-MG
29
12
8
9
39:34
5
44
12
Vitoria
30
10
6
14
33:44
-11
36
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Mineiro - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
Ecuador
Mexico
Russia
Ukraine
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Alonso J. (C) 
Franco A. 
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Cassierra M. 
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