Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 24

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem)

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Netherlands	ESPN
Romania	Sport Extra
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	Sport TV


	Vitesse		Twente

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.7	Watch
	4.33	4	1.72
	4.45	4.15	1.7	Watch
	4.7	4.2	1.72
	4.8	4.16	1.72
	5	4	1.62
	4.72	4.27	1.71	Watch
	4.5	4.1	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (4.3)	4.14 ↑ (3.98)	1.7 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
20.7%

Draw
23.1%

Twente
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

23.4%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

23.2%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Vitesse - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: Twente will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (C) 2. Arcus C. 6. Oroz D. 15. Hendriks R. 5. Mica Pinto 14. Aaronson P. 17. Kozlowski K. 20. Meulensteen M. 28. Hadj Moussa A. 35. Meerdink M. 7. Boutrah A.	22. Tyton P. (G) 20. Brenet J. 2. Hilgers M. 3. Propper R. (C) 5. Smal G. 23. Sadilek M. 14. Steijn S. 4. Kjolo M. 11. Rots D. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. 18. Vlap M.
Substitutes
55. Bramel T. (G) 19. Buitink T. 13. Cornelisse E. 25. de Regt G. 22. Domgjoni T. 30. Mazilu A. 31. Schubert M. (G) 21. Tielemans M. 8. van Ginkel M. 43. Van Zwam G. 9. Voelkerling Persson J.	41. Besselink G. 21. Boadu M. 38. Bruns M. 16. El Maach I. (G) 30. Karssies S. (G) 8. Regeer Y. 34. Salah-Eddine A. 12. Sampsted A. 19. Taha Y. 10. Unuvar N. 7. van Bergen M. 17. Van Hoorenbeeck A.
Coaches
Sturing E.	Oosting J.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 0.

Vitesse is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Twente is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Twente is a favorite.

There will not play in Vitesse: Boutrah A. (Ankle Injury) Propper D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Vitesse: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Jonathans M. (Knee Injury)

Last 22 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 33-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitesse won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
25.02.24	Excelsior - Vitesse	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Vitesse - Volendam	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Heracles Almelo - Vitesse	3:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
07.02.24	Cambuur - Vitesse	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
04.02.24	Vitesse - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLLL
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
25.02.24	Twente - Go Ahead Eagles	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Twente - Utrecht	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Excelsior - Twente	0:3 ✺
03.02.24	Twente - Waalwijk	3:0 ✺
28.01.24	Feyenoord - Twente	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
27.09.23	Twente - Vitesse	1:0
25.01.23	Vitesse - Twente	2:2
01.10.22	Twente - Vitesse	3:0
05.02.22	Twente - Vitesse	3:0
19.09.21	Vitesse - Twente	1:4
03.04.21	Twente - Vitesse	1:2
14.02.21	Vitesse - Twente	0:2

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