Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 38

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2


	Cambuur		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.8	3
	1.92	3.95	3.25
	1.94	4.05	3.43
	1.9	4.42	3.2	Watch
	2	3.8	3
	1.96	3.98	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.7)	4 ↓ (4.25)	3.18 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
47.9%

Draw
23.1%

Vitesse
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

22%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

21.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambuur's form might have worsened.

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitesse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambuur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitesse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Cambuur - Vitesse Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Vitesse will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 25. Marsman B. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 17. Apkakou E. 7. Balk R. 10. Diemers M. (C) 26. Ferrah I. 14. van der Sande J. 15. Kvam F.	16. van den Berg C. (G) 24. Markelo N. 17. Zumberi V. 35. Achouitar O. 22. Thenu X. 6. Schikora M. (C) 21. Schwarz R. 27. Zonneveld N. 19. Tahaui A. 7. Hoogewerf D. 20. Bannis N.
Substitutes
3. Berkhout J. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 24. Jonker T. 31. Kalisvaart M. (G) 27. Kooistra W. 47. Look D. 21. Meijster J. (G) 16. Mulders R. 33. Priem J. 18. Rolke T. 9. Visser K.	2. Bonnah S. 44. Bouhekan M. 31. Brull M. (G) 30. Driezen M. 39. Huetink F. 9. Huth E. 33. Marschalk M. 43. Olde Keizer C. 34. Ouallil Y. 11. Ranon Y. 23. Siecker J. (G) 46. van der Mast H.
Coaches
de Jong H.	Rehm R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Hoogewerf D. 🟨,
14', Achouitar O. 🟨,
33', Markelo N. 🟨,
36', Markelo N. 🟨,
38', Baouf I. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Bannis N. ⚽, Hoogewerf D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Zonneveld N. ↓, Bonnah S. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Diemers M. ⚽,
55', Thenu X. 🟨,
59', Galvez T. 🟨,
63', Apkakou E. ↓, Rolke T. ↑,
63', Marsman B. ↓, Mulders R. ↑,
66', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
67', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
74', Amofa J. ↓, Jonker T. ↑,
74', Tahaui A. ↓, Marschalk M. ↑,
81', Balk R. ↓, Visser K. ↑,
81', Kvam F. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
83', Schwarz R. ↓, Olde Keizer C. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Ferrah I. ⚽, Visser K. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 11).

Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 4.

Cambuur has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vitesse is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Cambuur has had a series of away games.

Cambuur will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cambuur: Visser D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M. (Leg Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.4:2.6).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Vitesse: 2.39%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15:15	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.04.26	De Graafschap - Cambuur	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Den Bosch - Cambuur	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Cambuur - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	VVV-Venlo - Cambuur	3:0 ✺
24.03.26	Emmen - Cambuur	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTTLW
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.04.26	Vitesse - MVV Maastricht	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Jong Utrecht - Vitesse	0:3 ✺
06.04.26	Vitesse - Jong Ajax	6:1 ✺
03.04.26	Vitesse - Emmen	3:3 ✺
20.03.26	Jong PSV - Vitesse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.11.25	Vitesse - Cambuur	0:4
25.04.25	Cambuur - Vitesse	2:1
22.11.24	Vitesse - Cambuur	0:6
Dutch KNVB Beker
07.02.24	Cambuur - Vitesse	3:1
Dutch Eredivisie
14.05.23	Vitesse - Cambuur	2:0
15.10.22	Cambuur - Vitesse	0:3
10.04.22	Vitesse - Cambuur	1:0

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