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Vitesse vs MVV Maastricht Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, April 17, 2026)

Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 37

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem)

Referee: Vos M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2


	Vitesse		MVV Maastricht

	1	X	2
	1.35	5	7
	1.37	4.95	7.4	Watch
	1.36	5.7	7.46
	1.35	5.37	7.26	Watch
	1.36	5	6.5
	1.34	5.4	7.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.49)	5.24 ↑ (4.5)	7.12 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
69%

Draw
17.9%

MVV Maastricht
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

20.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

19.9%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitesse's performance.

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Maastricht will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. van den Berg C. (G) 2. Bonnah S. 24. Markelo N. 35. Achouitar O. 28. Buttner A. (C) 6. Schikora M. 33. Marschalk M. 27. Zonneveld N. 19. Tahaui A. 7. Hoogewerf D. 20. Bannis N.	1. Westerveld S. (G) 32. Tran L. M. 22. Breugelmans I. 4. Coomans W. 15. Beydts A. 8. Van Dessel S. 3. Dicke F. 10. Silva Timas I. 21. Asante D. 9. Braken S. (C) 19. Pawirodihardjo J.
Substitutes
42. Bosch T. 44. Bouhekan M. 31. Brull M. (G) 30. Driezen M. 39. Huetink F. 9. Huth E. 43. Olde Keizer C. 34. Ouallil Y. 11. Ranon Y. 23. Siecker J. (G) 22. Thenu X.	28. Amgar A. 35. Curto L. 29. de Jong T. 2. Francis S. 17. Kassimi A. 38. Klaasen R. 14. Kuipers M. 12. Poitoux T. (G) 23. van der Heijden S. (G) 11. Verheijen T. 24. Zaian A.
Coaches
Rehm R.	van den Berg P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Silva Timas I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Buttner A. ↓, Thenu X. ↑,
60', Pawirodihardjo J. 🟨,
65', Marschalk M. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
69', Pawirodihardjo J. ↓, Kuipers M. ↑,
69', Asante D. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,
73', Breugelmans I. 🟨,
80', Beydts A. ↓, Zaian A. ↑,
81', Schikora M. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
87', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Bouhekan M. ↑,
90+1', Braken S. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
90+3', Van Dessel S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18).

Vitesse is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Maastricht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Vitesse is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Vitesse: Schwarz R. (Yellow Cards) Steffen M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Maastricht: Sy K. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D. (Injury)

We predict that Vitesse will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Vitesse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

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Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Maastricht	5	4	1	0	9:5	4	13
5	Vitesse	5	3	1	1	10:7	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.04.26	Jong Utrecht - Vitesse	0:3 ✺
06.04.26	Vitesse - Jong Ajax	6:1 ✺
03.04.26	Vitesse - Emmen	3:3 ✺
20.03.26	Jong PSV - Vitesse	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Roda - Vitesse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWTWW
- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.04.26	MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Emmen - MVV Maastricht	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	MVV Maastricht - Waalwijk	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	MVV Maastricht - Willem II	0:5 ✺
16.03.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.10.25	MVV Maastricht - Vitesse	3:2
01.03.25	Vitesse - MVV Maastricht	1:0
06.12.24	MVV Maastricht - Vitesse	2:2

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