The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitoria Guimarães 59.1%
Draw 24.4%
Marítimo 16.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.4%
25.6%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
20.1%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marítimo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
Vitoria Guimarães - Marítimo Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Marítimo will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 46.4% – 99%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vitoria Guimarães will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 4.
Guimarães has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Marítimo has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Guimarães has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Guimarães for this game.
Confirmed absences for Guimarães: Gui
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Guimarães: Dias F.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Marítimo: Santiago Perez J.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guimarães has recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:20 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guimarães against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 13:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.6 per game).