Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vitoria Guimarães		Leiria

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	8.5
	1.4	4.1	6.75
	1.42	4.33	7.5
	1.42	4.32	8.71
	1.39	4.27	7.57	Watch
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.43	4.33	7.38
	1.42	4.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.3)	4.24 ↓ (4.5)	7.68 ↓ (9.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães
65.9%

Draw
22%

Leiria
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

20.4%

9.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75%

19.1%

8.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria Guimarães, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vitoria Guimarães - Leiria Predictions

Users Predictions: Vitoria Guimarães will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Charles Silva (G) 76. Gaspar B. 24. Borevkovic T. 15. Rivas Viondi O. 13. Mendes J. 28. Ze Carlos 8. Handel T. (C) 11. Kaio Cesar 20. Samu 77. Santos N. 9. Ramirez J.	29. Ferreira F. (G) 52. Sylla H. 6. Baixinho M. 23. Ferreira T. 3. Baro M. 18. Crystopher 25. Amado D. (C) 26. Resende J. 42. D'Avilla D. 99. dos Anjos D. 9. Munoz J.
Substitutes
18. Arcanjo T. 79. Bica 22. Costa A. 6. Manu 17. Mendes J. 2. Miguel Maga 7. Oliveira N. 4. Ribeiro T. 14. Varela B. (G)	27. Alisson Santos 4. Bura 15. Kaka 1. Kieszek P. (G) 58. Monteiro D. 37. Nabian H. 5. Rofino V. G. 11. Silva J. 28. Singh S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Rivas Viondi O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Crystopher ↓, Silva J. ↑,
62', Resende J. ↓, Singh S. ↑,
66', Ramirez J. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
66', Samu ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
66', Gaspar B. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
68', Baixinho M. ↓, Rofino V. G. ↑,
78', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
84', 2 - 0, Kaio Cesar ⚽,
85', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', dos Anjos D. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
86', Ferreira T. ↓, Bura ↑,
86', Ze Carlos ↓, Manu ↑,
86', Santos N. ↓, Bica ↑,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Guimarães is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
10.11.24	Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
03.11.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense	1:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
31.10.24	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
27.10.24	Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWLT
- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
10.11.24	Torreense - Leiria	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Leiria - Leixões	1:0 ✺
28.10.24	Mafra - Leiria	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Leiria - Nacional	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.10.24	Leiria - Felgueiras	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
21.04.12	Vitoria Guimarães - Leiria	3:2

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