Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)


	Vizela		Alverca

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	4.2
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.75	3.65	4.5
	1.7	3.69	4.83	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.5
	1.72	3.7	4.78	Watch
	1.75	3.65	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.8)	3.59 ↑ (3.25)	4.5 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
53.7%

Draw
25.7%

Alverca
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

26.1%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Vizela - Alverca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vizela (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Vizela will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ruly (G) 77. Jojo 41. Correia A. 6. Jota Goncalves (C) 19. Lebedenko O. 90. Nascimento D. 24. Morschel H. 20. Semedo Y. 97. Loppy D. 18. Semedo V. 99. Ntolla N.	98. Joao Bravim (G) 5. Varela F. 6. Velazquez S. 16. Pires M. 22. David Bruno 40. Ageu E. 35. Pedro Bicalho (C) 74. Shinga K. 10. Andrezinho 89. Joao Marcos 7. Brenner
Substitutes
22. Busnic A. 17. Joao Reis 23. Milovanovic U. 13. Morro M. A. (G) 68. Obah P. 9. Petrov S. 21. Ramos R. 33. Schutte R. 12. Tol M.	20. Bukia A. 25. Dias R. 88. Martins D. 4. Mendonca I. 77. Rafael Conceicao 12. Reinaldo 8. Rosa C. 23. Silva P. (G) 36. Thauan Lara
Coaches
Pereira F.	Costa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Morschel H. ⚽, Semedo V. (A),
45+1', Brenner 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Jojo 🟨,
59', Lebedenko O. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Joao Marcos (Pen),
65', Loppy D. ↓, Obah P. ↑,
65', Pedro Bicalho 🟨,
71', David Bruno ↓, Martins D. ↑,
74', Semedo Y. ↓, Schutte R. ↑,
80', Brenner ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
85', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Dias R. ↑,
90+1', Ntolla N. ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
90+4', Semedo V. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Vizela in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Alverca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alverca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vizela is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vizela to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vizela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
05.04.25	Chaves - Vizela	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Vizela - Portimonense	3:2 ✺
16.03.25	Vizela - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Oliveirense - Vizela	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Vizela - Feirense	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
06.04.25	Alverca - Benfica B	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Feirense - Alverca	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Alverca - Torreense	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Penafiel - Alverca	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Alverca - Mafra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.11.24	Alverca - Vizela	4:2

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