Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 17

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Vizela		Boavista

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.75	Watch
	2.06	3.36	4.01
	2.07	3.36	4.01
	1.95	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3.38	3.76	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.29)	3.27 ↓ (3.28)	3.8 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
46.2%

Draw
28.9%

Boavista
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.9%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.4%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vizela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boavista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Vizela - Boavista Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Boavista will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vizela: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Buntic F. (G) 2. Oliveira H. 3. Wilson Valdez B. R. 5. Anderson Jesus 6. Matheus Pereira 90. Nascimento D. 12. Bustamante R. 17. Lacava M. 20. Samu (C) 18. Awudu Abdul 99. Essende S.	99. Joao Goncalves (G) 11. dos Santos L. 23. Sasso V. 26. Abascal R. 20. Ferreira F. 24. Perez S. (C) 42. Makouta G. 8. Lourenco B. 10. Reisinho M. 21. Morais T. 9. Bozenik R.
Substitutes
22. Busnic A. 82. Costa Silva T. 25. Escoval R. 4. Jota Goncalves 19. Lebedenko O. 8. Mendez A. 42. Messias 1. Ruberto F. (G) 29. Soro A.	80. Berna 27. De Santis J. 90. Machado T. 35. Miguel G. 16. Silva J. 76. Sousa T. (G) 59. Tavares M. 18. Vukotic I. 13. Watai M.
Coaches
de la Barrera R.	Couto J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 12).

Recent matches Vizela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boavista is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vizela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vizela will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Vizela: Moreira N. (Injury) Mrezigue H. (Injury) Rashid O. (National selection)

There will not play in Boavista: Awaziem C. (National selection) Camara I. (Red Card) Cesar (Injury) Dabo A. (Injury) Malheiro P. (Muscle Injury) Onyemaechi B. (National selection)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vizela won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vizela won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Taça de Portugal
10.01.24	Vizela - Arouca	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.01.24	Estrela da Amadora - Vizela	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Vizela - Moreirense	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Rio Ave - Vizela	1:1 ✺
08.12.23	Vizela - Braga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTTL
- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
05.01.24	Boavista - Porto	1:1 ✺
30.12.23	Gil Vicente - Boavista	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Estrela da Amadora - Boavista	3:1 ✺
03.12.23	Boavista - Arouca	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
17.04.23	Vizela - Boavista	1:1
30.10.22	Boavista - Vizela	2:2
06.02.22	Boavista - Vizela	2:2
28.08.21	Vizela - Boavista	1:1

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