Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 25

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Kras Stadion (Volendam)

Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Volendam		ADO Den Haag

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.6	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.5
	1.95	3.75	3.5	Watch
	1.92	3.88	3.9
	1.92	3.79	3.57	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.5
	1.87	3.88	3.66	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.73)	3.76 ↓ (4.04)	3.59 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
49.1%

Draw
24.9%

ADO Den Haag
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

23.2%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

22.5%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Volendam's form might have worsened.

ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volendam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Volendam - ADO Den Haag Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Den Haag will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Volendam: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. van Oevelen K. (G) 12. Payne D. 28. Esajas S. 4. Mbuyamba X. 32. Leliendal Y. 6. Plat A. 18. Bukala N. 7. Ould-Chikh B. 21. Muhren R. 10. Kuwas B. 9. Veerman H. (C)	23. Nikiema K. (G) 2. Van Der Sloot S. 4. Waem M. 12. Hamalainen T. 5. Sylla S. 25. Kilo J. 8. Vlak J. (C) 7. van Mieghem D. 19. Reischl L. 35. Maasland L. 9. Bonis L.
Substitutes
5. Anita V. 25. Blondeau L. 23. Curiel G. 36. de Haan M. 8. Jacobs Ja. 22. Lauwers B. (G) 19. Mau-Asam M. 16. Ngom K. (G) 11. Oehlers A. 14. Steur D. 39. Zijlstra M.	28. Coremans T. (G) 16. de Bruin F. 26. de Ruijter I. 33. Dijkhuizen I. 32. Houwaart M. 22. Lourens D. 37. Payne D. 18. Peupion C. 6. Surmeli K. 1. Wentges H. (G)
Coaches
Kruys R.	Kalezic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Reischl L. ⚽, Hamalainen T. (A),
50', Sylla S. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Bonis L. ⚽,
63', Plat A. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Veerman H. ⚽,
67', van Mieghem D. ↓, Peupion C. ↑,
72', Reischl L. ↓, Lourens D. ↑,
78', Esajas S. ↓, Anita V. ↑,
81', Waem M. 🟨,
81', Bonis L. 🟨,
84', Bukala N. ↓, Zijlstra M. ↑,
88', Waem M. 🟨,
89', Maasland L. ↓, Surmeli K. ↑,
90+3', van Oevelen K. 🟨,
90+3', Kuwas B. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mega Basket won 2.

Mega Basket is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Split is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Split could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mega Basket is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mega Basket won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 724:715 (average 80.4:79.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Mega Basket won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 351:303 (average 87.8:75.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
31.01.25	Den Bosch - Volendam	3:0 ✺
24.01.25	Volendam - MVV Maastricht	3:1 ✺
17.01.25	Volendam - Vitesse	4:0 ✺
10.01.25	FC Eindhoven - Volendam	1:3 ✺
22.12.24	Volendam - De Graafschap	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW
- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.02.25	De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag	1:2 ✺
31.01.25	ADO Den Haag - FC Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Excelsior - ADO Den Haag	1:0 ✺
17.01.25	ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	ADO Den Haag - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.08.24	ADO Den Haag - Volendam	2:1
Club Friendly
21.03.24	ADO Den Haag - Volendam	4:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.03.22	ADO Den Haag - Volendam	1:1
13.08.21	Volendam - ADO Den Haag	1:3
Club Friendly
01.08.12	ADO Den Haag - Volendam	N/A

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