The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior 51.7%
Draw 24.2%
ADO Den Haag 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
25%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
25.3%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Excelsior - ADO Den Haag Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Den Haag will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for Den Haag: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. 4. Warmerdam D. 12. Zagre A. 15. Naujoks N. 10. Duijvestijn L. (C) 23. Hatenboer C. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 33. Bergraaf J. 7. Fini S.
23. Nikiema K. (G) 2. Van Der Sloot S. 12. Hamalainen T. 4. Waem M. 5. Sylla S. 8. Vlak J. 25. Kilo J. 7. van Mieghem D. 10. Schalk A. (C) 16. de Bruin F. 9. Bonis L.
Substitutes
11. Booth Z. 21. Donkor J. 24. Eijgenraam J. 40. Holla T. (G) 17. Martens N. 16. Mattheij J. 9. Omorowa R. 3. Pierie K. 14. Rosario R. 34. Seymor S. 29. van Duinen M.
28. Coremans T. (G) 26. de Ruijter I. 24. Heesen S. 32. Houwaart M. 22. Lourens D. 35. Maasland L. 17. Mohammad E. 19. Reischl L. 6. Surmeli K. 1. Wentges H. (G)
Coaches
den Uil R.
Kalezic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Schalk A. ↓, Reischl L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Van Der Sloot S. 🟨,
70', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Omorowa R. ↑,
76', de Bruin F. ↓, Surmeli K. ↑,
76', van Mieghem D. ↓, Maasland L. ↑,
79', Naujoks N. 🟨,
79', Bergraaf J. ↓, Donkor J. ↑,
80', Donkor J. 🟨,
86', Hamalainen T. ↓, de Ruijter I. ↑,
86', Reischl L. ↓, Lourens D. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Duijvestijn L. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4.
Recent matches Excelsior is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Den Haag is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Excelsior have a series of guest games.
Recently Den Haag have a series of home games.
In this match Excelsior is a favorite.
There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X.
(Injury)
There will not play in Den Haag: Tomas D.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Den Haag: Hokke M.
(Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 43:42 (average 2.2:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:20 (average 2.3:2.5).
Netherlands
Watch
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Raatsie C. (G) 
Widell C. 
Zagre A. 
Fini S. 
Nikiema K. (G) 
Hamalainen T. 
Waem M. 
Sylla S. 
Bonis L. 
Booth Z. 
Rosario R. 
Reischl L. 
Surmeli K. 
Kalezic D. 
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