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Current Win Probability
Volendam 26.3%
Draw 24.5%
Waalwijk 49.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
25.8%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
26.8%
45.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.8%
14.8%
70.4%
Volendam - Waalwijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 53.2% – 87.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Backhaus M. (G) 2. Buur O. 6. Benamar B. 28. Flint J. 3. Plat B. 4. Mirani D. (C) 5. Cox G. 7. Booth Z. 10. Maulun R. 38. Johnson D. 21. Muhren R.
1. Vaessen E. (G) 2. Lelieveld J. 23. Gaari J. 3. Van den Buijs D. 5. Lutonda T. 24. Roemeratoe G. 6. Oukili Y. 19. Margaret R. 20. Seuntjens M. 14. Lokesa C. 29. Kramer M. (C)
Substitutes
34. El Kadiri I. 27. Hoeve Q. 22. Lauwers B. (G) 8. Le Roux L. 16. Nazih I. 30. Safouane K. 17. Twigt C. 23. van Duijl B. 20. van Oevelen K. (G)
4. Adewoye S. 11. Bakkali Z. 25. Bruma J. 7. Cleonise D. 35. Felida K. 21. Houwen J. (G) 9. Min D. 27. Niemeijer R. 13. Spenkelink M. (G) 10. Stevanovic F. 22. Takidine I. 8. Vroegh P.
Coaches
Simons R.
Fraser H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Muhren R. ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Muhren R. ⚽,
36', Oukili Y. ↓, Niemeijer R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 2 - 1, Niemeijer R. ⚽, Van den Buijs D. (A),
59', 2 - 2, Kramer M. ⚽, Seuntjens M. (A),
60', Maulun R. 🟨,
61', Maulun R. ↓, Le Roux L. ↑,
69', Cox G. ↓, Twigt C. ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Johnson D. ⚽,
76', Lelieveld J. ↓, Adewoye S. ↑,
76', Margaret R. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
79', Johnson D. ↓, Safouane K. ↑,
79', Booth Z. ↓, Hoeve Q. ↑,
82', Seuntjens M. ↓, Min D. ↑,
82', Van den Buijs D. ↓, Felida K. ↑,
83', Gaari J. 🟨,
90+1', Roemeratoe G. 🟨,
90+1', Benamar B. 🟨,
90+2', Safouane K. 🟨,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Volendam won 2.
Volendam is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Waalwijk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Volendam could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Waalwijk will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Volendam won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Volendam won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.
Netherlands
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Backhaus M. (G) 
Buur O. 
Benamar B. 
Flint J. 
Plat B. 
Booth Z. 
Maulun R. 
Johnson D. 
Gaari J. 
Van den Buijs D. 
Hoeve Q. 
Le Roux L. 
Stevanovic F. 
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