Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 26

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)

Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Excelsior		Waalwijk

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.35	3.5	2.87
	2.22	3.55	3.15	Watch
	2.42	3.5	3.02
	2.44	3.5	3.01
	2.38	3.5	2.75
	2.39	3.43	3.12	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.42)	3.49 ↑ (3.32)	2.99 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Excelsior
40.4%

Draw
27.5%

Waalwijk
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.2%	26.1%	21.7%

Excelsior - Waalwijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Gassel S. (C) 2. Horemans S. 5. Widell C. 16. Nieuwpoort S. 22. Benita M. 33. Baas J. 15. Naujoks N. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 10. Goudmijn K. 14. Driouech C. 23. Duijvestijn L.	1. Vaessen E. (C) 2. Lelieveld J. 4. Adewoye S. 3. Van den Buijs D. 28. Meijers A. 24. Roemeratoe G. 6. Oukili Y. 19. Margaret R. 27. Niemeijer R. 14. Lokesa C. 9. Min D.
Substitutes
18. Alblas N. (G) 32. de Moes S. 7. Lamprou L. 17. Omorowa R. 8. Sandra C. 11. Uddenas O. 35. Udenhout J. 29. van Duinen M.	25. Bruma J. 35. Felida K. 23. Gaari J. 21. Houwen J. (G) 29. Kramer M. 5. Lutonda T. 20. Seuntjens M. 13. Spenkelink M. (G) 10. Stevanovic F. 22. Takidine I. 8. Vroegh P. 30. Weidmann D.
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.	Fraser H.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 0.

Excelsior has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Waalwijk is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Excelsior will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Excelsior: Driouech C. (Injury) Pierie K. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury) Seymor S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Waalwijk: El Harmazi N. (Shoulder Injury) Seuntjens M. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
10.03.24	AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior	4:0 ✺
03.03.24	Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior	5:2 ✺
25.02.24	Excelsior - Vitesse	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Excelsior	4:2 ✺
10.02.24	Excelsior - Twente	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie
09.03.24	Waalwijk - Vitesse	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Waalwijk	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Feyenoord - Waalwijk	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Waalwijk - NEC Nijmegen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
02.12.23	Waalwijk - Excelsior	2:2
04.02.23	Excelsior - Waalwijk	0:0
04.09.22	Waalwijk - Excelsior	5:2
22.05.19	Excelsior - Waalwijk	1:1
19.05.19	Waalwijk - Excelsior	2:1
Club Friendly
02.08.17	Excelsior - Waalwijk	2:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.05.14	Waalwijk - Excelsior	2:2

Upcoming Matches