Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 20

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Volgar Astrakhan		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.47	4.07
	1.88	3.47	4.07
	1.86	3.46	3.95	Watch
	1.97	3.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.02)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	3.89 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volgar Astrakhan
48.6%

Draw
27.3%

Shinnik
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volgar Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Volgar Astrakhan - Shinnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Smirnov O. (G) 44. Anisimov A. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 8. Klenkin D. 14. Poluboyarinov D. 28. Proshkin E. 42. Shaikhtdinov D. 55. Shlyakov E. 31. Tkachuk D. (C) 9. Zhamaletdinov T. 58. Zuev I.	56. Dovbnya A. (G) 21. Andreev I. 7. Gashchenkov M. 55. Guzj D. 19. Rubtsov I. 13. Semenov A. (C) 17. Shadrintsev D. 10. Sokolov I. 76. Sukhomlinov D. 77. Valiakhmetov E. 5. Zinkov V.
Substitutes
5. Atabayev E. 15. Folmer K. 97. Gogrichiani G. 19. Kosarev K. 70. Malyarov N. 10. Martovoy D. 77. Pushkarev D. 86. Rybikov N. (G) 23. Ushatov K.	92. Emeljanov R. 34. Kuznetsov P. 61. Malakhov A. 37. Malykhin D. 9. Nizamutdinov E. 15. Samoilov D. 44. Shishkov R. 16. Stavpets A. 75. Vambolt D. (G)
Coaches
Pavlov S.	Khomukha D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volgar won 1.

Recent matches Volgar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shinnik is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Volgar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Volgar won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Volgar won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL
18.11.23	Akron Tolyatti - Volgar Astrakhan	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Leningradets	1:2 ✺
06.11.23	Torpedo Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
02.11.23	Akron Tolyatti - Volgar Astrakhan	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL
28.10.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Rodina Moscow	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.9 WLWWL
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
18.11.23	Shinnik - KAMAZ	2:2 ✺
12.11.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	4:1 ✺
06.11.23	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:3 ✺
28.10.23	Shinnik - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
23.10.23	Akron Tolyatti - Shinnik	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
30.07.23	Shinnik - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1
06.05.23	Shinnik - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1
16.10.22	Volgar Astrakhan - Shinnik	1:0
28.04.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Shinnik	1:1
01.11.20	Shinnik - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1
17.03.18	Shinnik - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1
27.08.17	Volgar Astrakhan - Shinnik	0:1

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