Match Info

Date: 29 June 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio José Amalfitani (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Italy	DAZN Italia
Netherlands	ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Vélez Sársfield		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.7	3.1	2.05
	3.7	3.2	2.14
	3.55	3.1	2.1
	3.89	3.18	2.19
	3.5	3.1	2.05
	3.74	3.24	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.62)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	2.11 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
25.5%

Draw
29.8%

River Plate Montevideo
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

28.6%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

29.9%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.6%	25%	59.4%

Vélez Sársfield - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). River Plate will win (votes: 19 - 59.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 42.4% – 76.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Vélez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

River Plate will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.06.22	Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
20.06.22	Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central	2:0 ✺
16.06.22	Racing - Vélez Sársfield	2:0 ✺
12.06.22	Vélez Sársfield - Platense	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
08.06.22	Vélez Sársfield - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLLW
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.06.22	River Plate Montevideo - Boston River	0:1 ✺
18.06.22	Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:0 ✺
10.06.22	River Plate Montevideo - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
03.06.22	Montevideo City Torque - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
29.05.22	River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.09.19	River Plate Montevideo - Vélez Sársfield	1:2
03.02.19	Vélez Sársfield - River Plate Montevideo	1:2
24.02.18	Vélez Sársfield - River Plate Montevideo	1:0
01.10.16	River Plate Montevideo - Vélez Sársfield	3:0
30.04.16	River Plate Montevideo - Vélez Sársfield	0:0
31.10.15	Vélez Sársfield - River Plate Montevideo	0:1
09.11.14	Vélez Sársfield - River Plate Montevideo	1:1

Upcoming Matches