Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 37

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Warrington Town		Whitby Town

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.68
	2.27	3.47	2.78
	2.31	3.66	2.75	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.7
	2.28	3.3	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.66)	3.35 ↑ (3.33)	2.74 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Town
39.7%

Draw
27.2%

Whitby Town
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

28%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.2%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Warrington Town - Whitby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Dawson H. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Gell A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 0.

Warrington has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Whitby's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Whitby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Warrington won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Whitby: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Warrington	10	5	3	2	20:16	4	18
15	Whitby	11	4	0	7	17:32	-15	12

Last Results with these Odds

Warrington Town - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.03%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Whitby Town - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.98%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
21.03.26	Stockton Town - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Warrington Town - Hebburn Town	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Lancaster City - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Warrington Town - Hyde United	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Guiseley - Warrington Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTWWL
- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
21.03.26	Guiseley - Whitby Town	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Whitby Town - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
03.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Whitby Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
16.08.25	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	4:0
28.02.23	Warrington Town - Whitby Town	2:2
08.11.22	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	2:1
29.01.22	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	1:1
16.10.21	Warrington Town - Whitby Town	0:0
03.10.20	Warrington Town - Whitby Town	1:0
25.01.20	Warrington Town - Whitby Town	2:1

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