Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 8

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Enea Stadium (Poznań)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	Canal+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3


	Warta Poznań		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.75	Watch
	5.22	3.48	1.79
	4.4	3.2	1.7	Watch
	4.85	3.54	1.76	Watch
	4.55	3.5	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (4.19)	3.47 ↓ (3.57)	1.76 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
20%

Draw
26.9%

Lech Poznań
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

26.2%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

26.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Warta Poznań - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (28 of 32 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.04% – 98.96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Grobelny J. (G) 4. Stavropoulos D. 44. Szymonowicz D. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 2. Bartkowski J. 21. Kupczak M. (C) 16. Luis M. 22. Matuszewski K. 7. Szmyt K. 6. Zurawski M. 77. Savic S.	41. Mrozek B. (G) 25. Dagerstal F. 16. Milic A. 15. Gurgul M. 44. Czerwinski A. 6. Karlstrom J. 22. Murawski R. (C) 21. Hotic D. 7. Sousa A. 10. Marchwinski F. 11. Velde K.
Substitutes
97. Kaminski W. 31. Krzyzak O. 1. Lis A. (G) 8. Maenpaa N. 25. Paszkowski J. 14. Tiru B. 29. Vizinger D.	50. Ba Loua A. 35. Bednarek F. (G) 2. Pereira J. 55. Pingot M. 90. Sobiech A. 17. Szymczak F. 54. Wilak F.
Coaches
Szulczek D.	van den Brom J.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Lech is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Warta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 4-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.09.23	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Warta Poznań - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Radomiak Radom - Warta Poznań	3:2 ✺
14.08.23	Warta Poznań - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
05.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Warta Poznań	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTLTT
- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.09.23	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Spartak Trnava - Lech Poznań	3:1 ✺
10.08.23	Lech Poznań - Spartak Trnava	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.08.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
08.04.23	Lech Poznań - Warta Poznań	2:0
18.09.22	Warta Poznań - Lech Poznań	0:1
14.05.22	Warta Poznań - Lech Poznań	1:2
28.11.21	Lech Poznań - Warta Poznań	2:0
26.02.21	Warta Poznań - Lech Poznań	1:2
20.09.20	Lech Poznań - Warta Poznań	1:0
Club Friendly
23.06.18	Lech Poznań - Warta Poznań	2:0

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