The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Watford 45.1%
Draw 27.6%
Newcastle United 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
28.9%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
21.4%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Watford's performance.
Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
47%
30.1%
22.9%
Watford - Newcastle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
83 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 39 - 47%). Newcastle will win (votes: 19 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 30.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 36.3% โ 57.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
Watford has the most likely position - 19 (14.27%), has project points - 37, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Newcastle has the most likely position - 20 (15.07%), has project points - 36, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Watford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Newcastle is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Newcastle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Watford will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Watford won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.
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