The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Watford 32.5%
Draw 30.5%
Crystal Palace 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
28.7%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.6%
21.1%
57%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Watford that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+20%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crystal Palace could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.8%
37.6%
44.6%
Watford - Crystal Palace Predictions
Users Predictions:
101 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 18 - 17.8%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 45 - 44.6%). It will Tie (votes: 38 - 37.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 34.9% – 54.3%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 13).
Watford has the most likely position - 19 (29.82%), has project points - 31, has currently - 18, has a good chance of relegated (71%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Crystal Palace has the most likely position - 13 (15.37%), has project points - 43, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality65, importance35, match rating50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 0.
Watford is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Crystal Palace is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Crystal Palace could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Watford won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18-24.
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.
Watch
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