Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 9

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.2	1.73	Watch
	4	4.2	1.75	Watch
	4	4	1.75	Watch
	4.1	4.43	1.79
	4	4.2	1.7
	4.05	4.15	1.74	Watch
	4.3	4.4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (4.37)	4.23 ↑ (4.17)	1.74 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
23.1%

Draw
22.4%

Hamburger SV
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

22.5%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

22.1%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	5%	90%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Stritzel F. (G) 2. Angha M. 24. Mathisen M. 26. Vukotic A. 9. Goppel T. 6. Fechner G. 7. Heusser R. 29. Gunther L. 8. Batzner N. 20. Lee H. 14. Kovacevic F.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 22. Van der Brempt I. 13. Ramos G. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 28. Muheim M. 14. Reis L. 23. Meffert J. 8. Benes L. 18. Jatta B. 9. Glatzel R. 21. Oztunali L.
Substitutes
34. Catic A. 30. Froese K. 33. Iredale J. 19. Jacobsen B. 10. Jonjic A. 21. Kade J. 1. Lyska A. (G) 4. Mockenhaupt S. 27. Rieble N.	35. Ambrosius S. 27. Dompe J. 3. Heyer M. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 46. Krahn E. 20. Nemeth A. 10. Pherai I. 6. Poreba L. 19. Raab M. (G)
Coaches
Kauczinski M.	Walter T.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Relegation: )).

Wehen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hamburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wehen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hamburg to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wehen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Wehen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 2 Bundesliga
30.09.23	Hannover - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
27.09.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - RB Leipzig	2:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
23.09.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
15.09.23	Paderborn - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
29.09.23	Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	Osnabrück - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Elversberg - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Hamburger SV - Hansa Rostock	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Hannover - Hamburger SV	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
31.05.20	Hamburger SV - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:2
03.11.19	Wehen Wiesbaden - Hamburger SV	1:1
German DFB Pokal
30.10.18	Wehen Wiesbaden - Hamburger SV	0:3

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