Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 32

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
Germany	RTL, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	2	Watch
	3.5	3.8	1.98
	3.3	3.75	2	Watch
	3.48	3.9	2.04
	3.54	3.83	2.04
	3.4	3.8	1.91
	3.5	3.92	1.96	Watch
	3.55	3.8	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.44)	3.82 ↓ (3.9)	1.99 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
27.4%

Draw
24.9%

Holstein Kiel
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

24.3%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

24%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	6.2%	75%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Stritzel F. (G) 2. Angha M. 24. Mathisen M. 26. Vukotic A. 4. Mockenhaupt S. (C) 7. Heusser R. 19. Jacobsen B. 9. Goppel T. 20. Lee H. 25. Agrafiotis N. 18. Prtajin I.	1. Weiner T. (G) 5. Johansson C. 4. Erras P. 6. Ivezic M. 17. Becker T. 16. Sander P. 10. Holtby L. (C) 18. Rothe T. 22. Remberg N. 11. Bernhardsson A. 20. Arp J.-F.
Substitutes
11. Bennetts K. 17. Carstens F. 34. Catic A. 6. Fechner G. 30. Froese K. 33. Iredale J. 14. Kovacevic F. 1. Lyska A. (G) 5. Taffertshofer E.	31. Engelhardt M. (G) 2. Kirkeskov M. 13. Machino S. 27. Mees J. 29. Niehoff N. 9. Pichler B. 23. Rosenboom L. 15. Schulz M. 32. Sterner J.
Coaches
Doring N.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Remberg N. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
60', Agrafiotis N. ↓, Iredale J. ↑,
60', Mockenhaupt S. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
63', Arp J.-F. ↓, Pichler B. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Becker T. ⚽,
72', Lee H. ↓, Taffertshofer E. ↑,
73', Becker T. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
83', Jacobsen B. ↓, Froese K. ↑,
83', Goppel T. ↓, Catic A. ↑,
85', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
90+2', Rothe T. 🟨,
90+4', Johansson C. 🟨,
90+6', Angha M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wehen won 1.

Wehen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Holstein Kiel is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Holstein Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Holstein Kiel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Wehen won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Wehen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 2 Bundesliga
28.04.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Greuther Fürth	3:5 ✺
20.04.24	Kaiserslautern - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Hansa Rostock - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLLL
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
27.04.24	Holstein Kiel - Kaiserslautern	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	4:0 ✺
06.04.24	Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel	0:4 ✺
30.03.24	Holstein Kiel - Hansa Rostock	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
02.12.23	Holstein Kiel - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:2
13.06.20	Holstein Kiel - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:2
23.11.19	Wehen Wiesbaden - Holstein Kiel	3:6
German 3 Bundesliga
05.04.17	Holstein Kiel - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:0
22.10.16	Wehen Wiesbaden - Holstein Kiel	0:0
02.04.16	Holstein Kiel - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1
17.10.15	Wehen Wiesbaden - Holstein Kiel	3:1

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