Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 23

Date: 23 February 2024, Friday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.37	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.35	Watch
	2.82	3.7	2.47
	2.87	3.65	2.46
	2.62	3.6	2.3
	2.76	3.68	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3.65	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.72)	3.64 ↑ (3.58)	2.39 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
34.2%

Draw
26.1%

Paderborn
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.5%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	25%	65%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Paderborn will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Stritzel F. (G) 4. Mockenhaupt S. (C) 24. Mathisen M. 17. Carstens F. 34. Catic A. 19. Jacobsen B. 7. Heusser R. 29. Gunther L. 30. Froese K. 14. Kovacevic F. 18. Prtajin I.	1. Boevink P. (G) 17. Curda L. 16. Musliu V. 33. Hoffmeier M. 26. Klaas S. 8. Kinsombi D. (C) 27. Klefisch K. 13. Leipertz R. 7. Bilbija F. 10. Kostons K. 23. Obermair R.
Substitutes
25. Agrafiotis N. 2. Angha M. 6. Fechner G. 9. Goppel T. 33. Iredale J. 20. Lee H. 1. Lyska A. (G) 27. Rieble N. 5. Taffertshofer E.	29. Ansah I. 4. Brackelmann C. 11. Conteh S. 39. Grimaldi A. 22. Hansen M. 24. Heuer J. 21. Huth J. (G) 32. Zehnter A.
Coaches
Kauczinski M.	Kwasniok L.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wehen won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Wehen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Wehen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 2 Bundesliga
17.02.24	Schalke 04 - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
02.02.24	Karlsruher - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Hertha Berlin	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Magdeburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTTWL
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
17.02.24	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	0:4 ✺
10.02.24	Kaiserslautern - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:3 ✺
27.01.24	Osnabrück - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
15.09.23	Paderborn - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:1
Club Friendly
10.10.19	Wehen Wiesbaden - Paderborn	3:3
German 3 Bundesliga
05.05.18	Paderborn - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1
02.12.17	Wehen Wiesbaden - Paderborn	4:1
24.02.17	Paderborn - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1
27.08.16	Wehen Wiesbaden - Paderborn	1:2

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