Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Dire Dawa Stadium (Dire Dawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Welwalo Adigrat		Saint George

	1	X	2
	4.2	2.95	1.85
	4.4	3	1.86
	4.25	3	1.93
	4.25	2.99	1.93	Watch
	4.98	2.73	1.99	Watch
	4.4	3	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↓ (4.5)	2.95 ↓ (3.55)	1.9 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welwalo Adigrat
20.8%

Draw
31.1%

Saint George
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

25.5%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

24.9%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Saint George has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saint George might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saint George could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Welwalo Adigrat - Saint George Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Welwalo Adigrat will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bereket A. (C) 7. Bayo F. 15. Berhe S. 12. Hottesa D. 11. Maru S. 20. Naguse H. 48. Ramatan M. 21. Rezak K. 45. Shura B. 22. Yohannes S. 26. Zeleke N.	22. Negasha B. (G) 6. Abdella F. 12. Erbo A. 10. Fikre B. 15. Getachew A. 27. Henok Y. 31. Pawlos K. 3. Terfa A. 14. Tsega K. 20. Wolde B. 41. Yabsra G.
Substitutes
41. Berehie S. 18. Gebru D. 27. Gemechu S. 28. Geremew Y. 19. Hailemariam E. 46. Kidane N. (G) 42. Mebrate G. 44. Mulugeta Y. 8. Ojo O. (G) 17. Solomon N. 24. Teka S. 3. Tilahun S.	39. Abdu S. 19. Araya D. 7. Fitsumi T. 25. Getachew A. 32. Gulilat H. 24. Hailu A. 11. Samuel A. 5. Tarekeg B. 1. Yohannes T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Fikre B. ⚽, Pawlos K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', Tsega K. ↓, Araya D. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Shura B. ⚽,
70', Erbo A. 🟨,
80', 1 - 2, Abdu S. ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, Araya D. ⚽,
89', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Saint George have a series of home games.

In this match Saint George is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
13.04.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
03.04.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Fasil Kenema	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Welayta Dicha - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTLLT
- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
14.04.25	Saint George - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Fasil Kenema - Saint George	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Saint George - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	Saint George - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
06.03.25	Saint George - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
27.09.24	Saint George - Welwalo Adigrat	2:1
09.02.20	Welwalo Adigrat - Saint George	1:4
27.01.19	Welwalo Adigrat - Saint George	0:1
23.05.18	Saint George - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0

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