Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Werder Bremen		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.18	3.55	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.65	3.45
	2.17	3.61	3.23	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.19	3.67	3.31	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.31)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	3.19 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
43.4%

Draw
26.9%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.3%	17.2%	34.5%

Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Borussia M will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 27.9% – 64.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 6 - 50%). Borussia M (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Borussia M (2.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Borussia M (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Backhaus M. (G) 22. Malatini J. 32. Friedl M. (C) 31. Coulibaly K. 3. Sugawara Y. 20. Schmid R. 14. Lynen S. 6. Stage J. 2. Deman O. 11. Njinmah J. 7. Mbangula S.	33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 6. Engelhardt Y. 10. Neuhaus F. 20. Netz L. 9. Honorat F. 15. Tabakovic H.
Substitutes
27. Agu F. 24. Covic P. 17. Grull M. 13. Hein K. (G) 19. Milosevic J. 18. Puertas C. 33. Schmetgens M. 23. Schmidt I. 9. Topp K.	17. Castrop J. 5. Friedrich M. 18. Machino S. 36. Mohya W. 23. Olschowsky J. (G) 8. Sarco A. 7. Stoger K. 26. Ullrich L. 40. Urbich J.
Coaches
Steffen H.	Polanski E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Reitz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Neuhaus F. ↓, Stoger K. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Tabakovic H. ⚽, Honorat F. (A),
64', Sugawara Y. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
64', Njinmah J. ↓, Milosevic J. ↑,
69', Sander P. ↓, Friedrich M. ↑,
75', Malatini J. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
84', Tabakovic H. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
86', Scally J. ↓, Castrop J. ↑,
88', Mbangula S. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Topp K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Werder may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Werder could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Werder: Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Pieper A. (Knee Injury) Stark N. (Lacking Match Fitness) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Borussia M: Diks K. (Head Injury) Hack R. (Knee Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Reyna G. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Schmidt I. (Concussion)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Werder won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:41. (average 1.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.5:2.1).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Werder Bremen: 0.23% B. Monchengladbach: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8:8	0	7
18	B. Monchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6:16	-10	0

Last Results with these Odds

Werder Bremen - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 41.2%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Borussia Mönchengladbach - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 32.37%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
27.01.26	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
13.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.26	St. Pauli - Werder Bremen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
25.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Hamburger SV - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:1 ✺
11.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Hannover - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	0:4
15.03.25	Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:4
03.11.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	4:1
04.05.24	Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:2
15.12.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	2:2
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	0:1
German Bundesliga
17.03.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	2:2

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